708
FXUS64 KEPZ 010425
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1025 PM MDT FRI OCT 31 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 955 PM MDT FRI OCT 31 2025
- QUIET WEATHER PATTERN INTO EARLY NOVEMBER WITH NO PRECIPITATION
IN THE FORECAST.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 955 PM MDT FRI OCT 31 2025
TRANQUIL WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A WEAK
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MOVES IN ON SATURDAY, BRINGING SOME COOLER
AIR AND MODESTLY BREEZY WINDS FOR WEST SLOPES. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE
5-10 DEGREES COOLER THAN FRI ALONG AND E OF THE RGV. UPPER RIDGING
BUILDS IN BY SUN, THEN SHIFTS EAST AND ELONGATES ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST US INTO MIDWEEK, ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO REBOUND TO
ABOVE NORMAL BY MONDAY (NEAR 10 DEGREES). HIGHS WILL BE WITHIN
SEVERAL DEGREES OF DAILY RECORDS FROM MON ONWARD, MOST LIKELY ON
TUE. QUASI-ZONAL FLOW THEN TAKES OVER LATE IN THE PERIOD WHILE
THE STORM TRACK IS WELL TO OUR NORTH. DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK WITH LIGHT TO MODESTLY BREEZY
WINDS CONTINUING.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 955 PM MDT FRI OCT 31 2025
GUSTY WINDS WILL SETTLE DOWN SHORTLY (BY 07Z) AT KELP FROM NEAR-
AWW LEVELS AS THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW RELAXES AND SHIFTS MORE
NORTHWESTERLY. WINDS REMAIN ELEVATED (LOW TEENS) FOR KELP FOR A
FEW MORE HOURS, OTHERWISE WINDS WILL BE AOB 10KTS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. WINDS SHIFT NE-E DURING THE DAY AS A WEAK FRONT ARRIVES.
MAINLY SKC EXPECTED.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1113 AM MDT FRI OCT 31 2025
AFTER WINDS DIE OFF OVERNIGHT, LITTLE FIRE THREAT IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL START OUT NEAR
TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEKEND BEFORE WARMING TO ABOUT 5-10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. MIN RH'S WILL BE FALLING
INTO THE TEENS EACH DAY WITH MODEST RECOVERIES INTO THE 40S AND
50S OVERNIGHT DUE TO GOOD DIURNAL COOLING. MAINLY FAIR VENT RATES
SATURDAY AND POOR ON SUNDAY AS WINDS DECREASE AND UPPER RIDGE
MOVES OVERHEAD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 75 48 77 51 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 68 39 74 42 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 73 42 74 45 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 72 42 73 47 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 52 34 57 39 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 72 44 75 46 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 73 43 73 46 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 78 42 78 43 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 75 45 77 46 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 73 50 75 52 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 70 37 77 41 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 76 45 80 47 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 66 44 70 48 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 75 44 78 46 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 73 44 74 46 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 73 48 75 52 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 73 41 75 44 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 77 42 78 44 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 78 45 78 48 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 70 40 72 46 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 60 37 71 44 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 64 37 67 41 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 60 34 64 39 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 68 37 72 40 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 73 45 76 48 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 73 40 74 43 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 73 38 75 41 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 74 41 75 44 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 79 42 80 44 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 75 42 76 44 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 72 44 72 47 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 77 44 79 45 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 76 42 77 44 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 77 45 78 46 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 73 48 75 50 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...39-ARONSON
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page