347
FXUS64 KEPZ 020358
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
958 PM MDT SAT NOV 1 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 958 PM MDT SAT NOV 1 2025
- QUIET WEATHER PATTERN INTO EARLY NOVEMBER WITH NO PRECIPITATION
IN THE FORECAST.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 958 PM MDT SAT NOV 1 2025
VERY BENIGN PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE CWA AS THE EASTERN PACIFIC
UPPER HIGH PERSISTS OVER THE AREA. SEASONABLE TEMPS AGAIN SUNDAY AS
WE SLOWLY MODIFY FROM THIS MORNING COOL INTRUSION.
TEMPERATURES THEN WARM TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL MONDAY AND BEYOND.
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH THEN ELONGATES EASTWARD OVER TEXAS AND THE WESTERN
GULF OF AMERICA. HOWEVER UPPER FLOW REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED; DRY
ZONAL FLOW PERSISTS INTO THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO
AROUND 10-13 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. A VERY WEAK SIDE DOOR/BACK DOOR
FRONT MOVES IN LATE THURSDAY NIGHT IN RESPONSE TO A SHORT WAVE
TROUGH SWEEPING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THIS SHOULD BE WORTH 2-
4 DEGREES OF COOLING FOR FRIDAY BUT STILL WELL ABOVE SEASONAL
LEVELS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) ISSUED AT 958 PM MDT SAT NOV 1 2025
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD, WITH SKC-SCT250. SURFACE WINDS
VARIABLE AOB 7 KNOTS, INCREASING TO SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 7-10 KNOTS
AFTER 18Z.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1055 AM MDT SAT NOV 1 2025
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE THE NORM ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE
UPCOMING WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOWLY WARMING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS WITH SOME NEAR RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE BY MIDWEEK. MIN RH'S
WILL BE FALLING INTO THE TEENS, BUT THE WINDS WILL REMAIN WELL
BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. VENT RATES WILL RANGE FROM POOR TO GOOD
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH BETTER RATES FURTHER NORTH.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 77 51 82 53 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 73 43 77 45 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 74 45 78 46 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 74 46 79 49 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 57 38 62 41 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 74 46 78 48 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 73 46 75 47 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 78 44 81 45 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 77 46 80 47 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 75 52 79 54 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 76 41 80 43 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 80 48 85 50 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 69 48 74 50 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 78 46 83 49 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 74 47 78 48 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 76 51 80 53 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 74 44 79 46 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 78 43 82 45 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 77 48 81 50 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 72 46 77 47 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 72 43 74 45 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 67 41 73 44 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 64 39 68 41 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 72 40 73 40 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 76 48 79 48 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 74 43 78 44 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 76 42 76 42 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 74 43 76 45 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 80 44 81 45 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 77 44 78 44 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 73 46 76 47 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 79 46 82 48 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 77 44 81 45 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 79 48 82 48 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 76 51 77 51 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...17-HEFNER
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