394
FXUS64 KEPZ 021121
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
421 AM MST SUN NOV 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 412 AM MST SUN NOV 2 2025
- QUIET WEATHER PATTERN INTO EARLY NOVEMBER WITH NO PRECIPITATION
IN THE FORECAST.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 958 PM MDT SAT NOV 1 2025
VERY BENIGN PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE CWA AS THE EASTERN PACIFIC
UPPER HIGH PERSISTS OVER THE AREA. SEASONABLE TEMPS AGAIN SUNDAY AS
WE SLOWLY MODIFY FROM THIS MORNING COOL INTRUSION.
TEMPERATURES THEN WARM TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL MONDAY AND BEYOND.
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH THEN ELONGATES EASTWARD OVER TEXAS AND THE WESTERN
GULF OF AMERICA. HOWEVER UPPER FLOW REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED; DRY
ZONAL FLOW PERSISTS INTO THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO
AROUND 10-13 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. A VERY WEAK SIDE DOOR/BACK DOOR
FRONT MOVES IN LATE THURSDAY NIGHT IN RESPONSE TO A SHORT WAVE
TROUGH SWEEPING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THIS SHOULD BE WORTH 2-
4 DEGREES OF COOLING FOR FRIDAY BUT STILL WELL ABOVE SEASONAL
LEVELS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 412 AM MST SUN NOV 2 2025
WE WILL HAVE BEAUTIFUL FLYING WEATHER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OUR
WINDS TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OR LIGHT
FROM THE SOUTHWEST. OUR CEILINGS WILL BE UNLIMITED TODAY THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 412 AM MST SUN NOV 2 2025
LITTLE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THIS WEEK AS OUR WINDS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT. THE ONE MINOR CONCERN WILL BE
OUR MIN RH'S. IT WILL BE DRY THIS WEEK WITH NO RAIN CHANCES. MIN
RH'S TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 10 TO 15% IN
THE LOWLANDS AND FROM 15 TO 25% IN AREA MOUNTAINS. VENTILLATION
RATES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL RANGE FROM POOR TO FAIR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 51 82 53 84 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 43 77 45 79 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 45 78 46 80 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 46 79 49 79 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 38 62 41 59 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 46 78 48 79 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 46 75 47 74 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 44 81 45 84 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 46 80 47 79 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 52 79 54 81 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 41 80 43 83 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 48 85 50 86 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 48 74 50 74 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 46 83 49 83 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 47 78 48 80 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 51 80 53 82 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 44 79 46 80 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 43 82 45 84 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 48 81 50 84 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 46 77 47 79 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 43 74 45 73 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 41 73 44 71 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 39 68 41 68 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 40 73 40 74 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 48 79 48 80 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 43 78 44 79 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 32 76 31 74 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 43 76 45 77 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 33 81 31 80 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 29 78 27 75 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 46 76 47 76 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 46 82 48 81 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 44 81 45 81 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 48 82 48 82 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 51 77 51 74 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...15-BRICE
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