275
FNUS74 KEPZ 151320
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR BACA PIT RX...US FOREST SERVICE, GILA NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
620 AM MST MON DEC 15 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON DECEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LOW FIRE DANGER TODAY AND THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND DRY WEATHER. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED TODAY
AND TONIGHT AS SKIES CLEAR OUT DURING THE DAY. DEEPER MIXING
HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TODAY WITH POOR TO FAIR VENTILATION.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEK AS WINDS
SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY DURING THE DAYTIME. VENT RATES IMPROVE
AROUND MIDWEEK AS THE WINDS ALOFT INCREASE. FOR TODAY, SMOKE IS
EXPECTED TO GROW VERTICALLY, THEN TO THE SOUTHEAST FOR MIDWEEK.
RAIN CHANCES HOLD NEAR ZERO.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (42900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........68 56 36 36 10
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............38 49 56 57 53
RH..............34 24 18 17 21
20 FT WIND......SW 1 W 2 NW 2 NW 2 NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 7 9 9 10
MIX HGT (FT)....200 1600 3600 5100 3100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 W 7 W 7 NW 10 NW 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 5 22 43 33
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR POOR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2300 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........7 7 10 5 5 3
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............41 38 36 33 33 33
RH..............33 38 42 47 47 47
20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 7 5 5 6
MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 300 300 300 300
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9 NW 9 NW 9 NW 9 NW 10 NW 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 3 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (42500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........3 3 5 5
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............30 39 51 51
RH..............51 39 21 20
20 FT WIND......NW 2G8 NW 5G15 NW 7G17 NW 6G16
MIX HGT (FT)....300 500 2100 2000
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 11 NW 11 NW 20 NW 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 6 43 29
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR POOR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
FORECASTER...ARONSON
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK VALENTINE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527617.1/EPZ
.DELDT 12/15/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DUSTIN.ROPER@USDA.GOV,FRANCESCA.CHAVEZ@USDA.GOV,PATRICK.VALENTINE@USDA.GOV,RANDALL.CHAVEZ@USDA.GOV,NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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