969
FNUS74 KEPZ 150106
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE CIENEGA PILES RX...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
606 PM MST WED JAN 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 MST ON JANUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT DOWNSLOPE FLOW OFF BRUSHY MOUNTAIN TOWARD THE BURN AREA
OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 5 MPH THURSDAY AFTERNOON, WITH POOR VENTILATION AND MINIMAL
SMOKE TRANSPORT ALL DAY LONG. SMOKE LIKELY TO SETTLE ALONG BRUSHY
MOUNTAIN ROAD OVERNIGHT, FOLLOWED BY NEAR VERTICAL SMOKE PLUMES
EACH AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS BECOMING DRIER ON FRIDAY WITH
CONTINUED POOR VENT RATES. NO SUDDEN WIND SHIFTS OR PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........1 1 1 3 3 3
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 38 37 36 36 35
RH..............54 54 59 59 59 61
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 12 12 12 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 0 0 0 0
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............36 35 35 41 46 50 52 55 56 56 55 52
RH..............56 59 59 48 40 34 33 31 30 31 32 39
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE SE W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 0 0 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........3 3 3 8 8 8 3 3 3 5 5 5
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............48 45 44 42 42 41 41 40 38 38 37 36
RH..............44 45 45 46 45 46 44 46 48 46 45 45
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N N N N NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 9 9 9 10 10 10 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 9 9 9 9 11 11 11 11
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........7 7 7 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............35 34 35 40 46 52 55 57 57 57 55 53
RH..............45 45 43 36 28 23 20 20 21 21 24 27
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NW NW NW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 10 10 10 9 9 9 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 1 12 12 12 12 17 17 17 17
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...ZACHARY ARMIJO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600202.0/EPZ
.DELDT 01/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BENJAMIN.CRUM@USDA.GOV,ZACHARY.ARMIJO@USDA.GOV,ADAM.MENDEZ@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page