034
FNUS74 KEPZ 152354
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE CIENEGA PILES RX...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
454 PM MST THU JAN 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT WINDS, GENERALLY LESS THAN 5 MPH DURING THE MORNING ON FRIDAY,
BECOMING NORTHERLY TO WESTERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
AT 6-11 MPH. AFTERNOON MIN RH VALUES WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 16-20 PERCENT
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 50S. WEAK FLOW ALOFT AND
POOR AFTERNOON MIXING WILL PROMOTE POOR SMOKE VENTILATION RATES ON FRIDAY.
WINDS DURING THE EVENING WILL TURN BACK TO THE NORTH, BECOMING VARIABLE
DURING THE OVERNIGHT AT AROUND 5 MPH. VERY SIMILIAR WEATHER CONDITIONS
CAN BE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH NORTH WINDS OF 8-13 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND SMOKE VENTILATION RATES BECOMING FAIR.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BETWEEN 55-59 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS LIGHT AT 2-4 MPH AND VARIABLE DURING THE MORNING,
BECOMING NORTH TO WEST AT 6-11 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 TO 3200 FT AGL DURING THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VENTILATION RATES WILL BE POOR ON FRIDAY.
TIME (MST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 2 2 2
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............32 31 37 45 51 54 56 57 58 56 53
RH..............41 41 33 26 21 21 20 18 17 20 25
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NW NW NW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 10 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE NE NE W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 0 14 14 14 14 16 16 16 16
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....BETWEEN 30-34 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS REMAINING WEST/NORTH THROUGH THE EVENING AT
4-8 MPH, BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE DURING THE
OVERNIGHT TIMEFRAME.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 47 43 40 39 38 38 37 36 35 35 34
RH..............25 27 30 33 32 32 32 32 33 33 33 33
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N N N N NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BETWEEN 53-57 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 3-7 MPH DURING THE MORNING,
REMAINING NORTH AT 8-13 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 TO 3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (58700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........6 6 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............33 32 33 38 44 50 53 54 55 55 53 51
RH..............34 36 34 27 21 17 16 16 17 18 21 22
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 9 10 8
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 3 51 51 51 51 59 59 59 59
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5-10 MPH.
MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5-10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 6-11 MPH.
FORECASTER...ROGERS
REQUESTED BY...ZACHARY ARMIJO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600202.1/EPZ
.DELDT 01/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BENJAMIN.CRUM@USDA.GOV,ADAM.MENDEZ@USDA.GOV,ZACHARY.ARMIJO@USDA.GOV
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