255
FNUS74 KEPZ 161229
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR LUNA PILES RX...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
529 AM MST FRI JAN 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 MST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
VERY FAMILIAR PATTERN FROM THE PAST FEW DAYS, THOUGH NNE TO NE
WINDS WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT THIS AFTERNOON. NOTE THAT THE LUNA
RAWS APPEARS TO HAVE SOME SHELTERING FROM A FEW TREES TO ITS NE
BASED ON SAT IMAGERY. WINDS SHOWN BELOW ARE REPRESENTATIVE OF A
MORE WIDE OPEN ENVIRONMENT AND AT A 20-FOOT LEVEL. VENT RATES
WILL BE AN IMPROVEMENT TODAY OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS, ONCE
THE MORNING INVERSION BREAKS AROUND 10 AM.
A DRIER AIR MASS WILL HELP KEEP MORNING LOWS IN THE 10S TONIGHT
INTO SATURDAY MORNING. MIN RH VALUES WILL ALSO TICK DOWN INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 10S THE NEXT COUPLE OF AFTERNOONS.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........23 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /20100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/60400 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........6 6 2 3 3 2
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............17 18 30 47 53 49
RH..............100 95 55 35 15 17
20 FT WIND......CALM CALM NE 6 NNE 10 NNE 10 NNE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.CALM 2 11 14 17 16
MIX HGT (FT)....400 900 5000 3700 4000 4000
TRANSPORT WIND..N 12 N 15 N 20 N 20 N 16 N 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 14 56 60 60 60
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD GOOD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 17.
RH..................MAX 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8200 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........1 1 4 5 5 3
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............37 32 28 25 21 17
RH..............29 37 40 42 41 50
20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 6 E 5 E 5 E 5 NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 10 9 9 12
MIX HGT (FT)....800 800 800 800 800 800
TRANSPORT WIND..N 12 N 12 N 13 N 13 N 13 N 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 10 8 8 10 10
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49.
RH..................MIN 16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 16 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 29 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (31300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (85800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........4 3 2 2
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............17 30 45 48
RH..............50 29 19 17
20 FT WIND......NE 2G5 NE 6G12 NNE 12G24 NNE 7G15
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1400 3100 3300
TRANSPORT WIND..N 16 N 16 N 29 N 21
VRATE KT-FT/1K..31 31 86 77
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS.
MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT
WINDS.
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK VALENTINE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2528906.4/EPZ
.DELDT 01/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL PATRICK.VALENTINE@USDA.GOV,DUSTIN.ROPER@USDA.GOV,FRANCESCA.CHAVEZ@USDA.GOV,RANDALL.CHAVEZ@USDA.GOV,TIMOTHY.HENDRICKS@USDA.GOV
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