799
FXUS64 KEPZ 261154 AAA
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
454 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 440 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
- A COUPLE OF BITTERLY COLD MORNINGS MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS.
- DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 918 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2026
QUIET CONDITIONS TONIGHT BUT WE ARE SEEING SOME PATCHY FREEZING
FOG STARTING TO DEVELOP IN THE SACRAMENTO MTNS AND HUDSPETH
COUNTY. MODELS CONTINUE THIS TREND THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
BEFORE BURNING OFF TOMORROW SOON AFTER SUNRISE. MAY NEED TO EXPAND
THE FREEZING FOG ADVISORY DOWN INTO THE TULAROSA BASIN.
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP THE BORDERLAND COOL FOR MONDAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ANYWHERE FROM 10-30 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE BITTERLY
COLD WITH ALL LOCATIONS DIPPING BELOW FREEZING. SOME OF THE
COLDEST SPOTS WILL BE EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE AND THE HIGHER
TERRAIN WHERE WIND CHILLS DIP TO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS.
THEREAFTER, TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN ON A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
WORK WEEK. A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL TRY AND PUSH IN
THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING, KEEPING TEMPERATURES GENERALLY THE
SAME, MAYBE A FEW DEGREES OF COOLING. DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SEEN THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AHEAD.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 440 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
LIGHT WINDS TO PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD. PATCHY FZFG IS
PERSISTING ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN NM AND FAR WRN TX, THE LATTER OF
WHICH IS ATTEMPTING TO SPREAD NWD TOWARD KELP. FZFG WILL LIKELY
BEGIN CLEARING AFT 26/15Z, WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THEREAFTER.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 440 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALOFT HAS EJECTED INTO THE GREAT
PLAINS, ESTABLISHING A REGIME OF NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE
BORDERLAND. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR QUIETER CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL
THROUGH A MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR WEST. WINDS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD
ARE GENERALLY LIGHT, WHICH WILL HELP ATTRIBUTE TO POOR
VENTILATION MOST AREAS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. SLIGHT
IMPROVEMENTS TO VENT RATES WILL FAVOR THE GILA TOWARD THE END OF
THE WORK WEEK. THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL USHER IN DRIER AIR,
ESPECIALLY TO THE GILA AND LOCALIZED PORTIONS OF THE SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS, WHICH WILL DIP NEAR AND BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ELSEWHERE WILL SEE MINRH WELL ABOVE 20
PERCENT WITH GOOD TO EXCELLENT RECOVERY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 25 53 28 55 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 19 46 21 48 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 22 52 24 53 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 14 48 19 48 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 12 37 18 38 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 23 53 27 54 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 23 54 27 54 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 23 56 26 57 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 20 54 23 55 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 27 52 30 52 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 8 41 9 40 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 21 54 22 56 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 20 42 25 45 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 20 53 22 55 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 22 51 24 53 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 22 51 27 51 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 15 52 19 53 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 18 56 21 57 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 25 54 27 55 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 13 44 17 46 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 14 51 20 53 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 12 47 19 48 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 13 43 20 42 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 15 54 20 53 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 23 54 28 55 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 16 52 19 53 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 20 56 24 55 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 20 55 25 55 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 19 60 23 60 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 20 57 25 58 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 25 53 29 54 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 21 55 23 56 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 20 54 23 54 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 22 56 26 56 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 27 54 32 54 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR NORTHERN
HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-SOUTHERN
HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS.
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR NORTHERN
HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF
EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS.
NM...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR OTERO
MESA.
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR EAST
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN/ALAMOGORDO-OTERO MESA-SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-SOUTHEAST TULAROSA BASIN-WEST
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN/WHITE SANDS-WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR EAST
SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS
BELOW 7500 FEET.
FORECASTER...99
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