258
FXUS64 KEPZ 270510
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1010 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1006 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
- ANOTHER COLD MORNING TUESDAY, ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY. PATCHY MORNING FOG TUESDAY OVER HUDSPETH AND OTERO
COUNTIES.
- DRY CONDITIONS, COOL TO SEASONAL TEMPERATURES, AND LIGHT WINDS
TO PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1006 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
A NICE QUIET INTERLUDE IS SETTING UP AFTER OUR BUSY WEEKEND. IN
THE SHORT TERM, ANOTHER COLD NIGHT IN STORE ACROSS THE CWA, WITH
VERY COLD TEMPERATURES EAST OF THE RG VALLEY. SATELLITE SHOWS
STRATUS/FOG CONTINUING OVER PORTIONS OF HUDSPETH AND SOUTHEAST
OTERO COUNTIES. SOME OF THIS IS LEFT OVER FROM THIS MORNING. HRRR
SHOWS SATURATED AIR CONTINUING IN THIS AREA OVER SEVERAL INCHES OF
SNOWFALL COVER. HRRR VISIBILITY FIELD ALSO SHOWING VERY LOW
VISIBILITIES IN THIS AREA. SO HAVE ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY
FOR PORTIONS OF HUDSPETH COUNTY FOR MUCH OF TUESDAY MORNING.
LARGER PICTURE AND LONGER TERM...RIDGING CURRENTLY BUILDING ALONG
THE WEST COAST WILL FLATTEN OUT INTO ZONAL FLOW BY WEDNESDAY AS A
WEAK TROUGH CUTS THROUGH. FEATURE SHOULD HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT, WITH
JUST A FEW HIGHER CLOUDS AND MAYBE AN AFTERNOON BREEZE. RIDGE THEN
REBUILDS OVER THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST BY FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE BOTTOM LINE WITH ALL OF THIS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND IS DRY WITH
NO CHANCE OF RAIN, VERY FEW CLOUDS, AND TEMPERATURES MODERATING
BACK TO NEAR NORMAL BY THURSDAY AND BEYOND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1006 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SCT150 BKN-OVC250, BECOMING
SKC-SCT250 AFTER 15Z. SURFACE WINDS EAST/NORTHEAST 6-9 KNOTS,
BECOMING WEST 7-10 KNOTS AFTER 18Z.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1138 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
THE WINTER WEATHER STORM SYSTEM IS GONE, AND WE ARE SETTLING INTO
A WEEK OF TRANQUIL WEATHER, WITH A DRY FLOW PATTERN BACK IN PLACE
ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE EXITING UPPER TROUGH. TO OUR WEST WE HAVE
A BUILDING RIDGE, WHICH WILL TRANSLATE EAST AND OVER THE REGION
BY MIDWEEK. A DEEP DRY NW FLOW WILL SLOW DAILY WARMING, DESPITE
GAINS IN DAILY HIGHS AND LOWS EACH DAY. WE WILL BE BACK TO DRY,
WITH QUITE LOW DAILY MINRH OVER THE GILA REGION, BUT WITH MINRH
STAYING IN THE 25-35 PERCENT RANGE ELSEWHERE. NIGHTLY MAXRH
RECOVERIES WILL BE GOOD TO VERY GOOD. NO PRECIPITATION OF ANY TYPE
IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK, DESPITE A LATE WEEK UPPER TROUGH
PASSING BY. IT IS WEAK, QUICK, AND NEVER SEEMS TO PICK UP ANY
MOISTURE. THUS WE ONLY SEE PERIODS OF MOSTLY HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING
OVER THROUGH THE WEEK. WINDS WILL BE QUITE VARIABLE IN DIRECTION,
BUT WITH RELAXED PRESSURE GRADIENTS SPEEDS WILL BE MOSTLY LIGHT,
AND TERRAIN DOMINATED. FOR THE ENTIRE WEEK, MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE
QUITE LOW, DUE TO THE COOL SURFACE TEMPERATURES (2-4KFT), WITH
LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS. THIS MEANS POOR VENTILATIONS, WITH A FEW
BRIEF PERIODS OF FAIR TO POOR OVER THE GILA.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 27 52 29 56 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 21 46 25 49 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 25 52 25 54 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 17 48 20 52 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 15 38 21 41 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 26 52 28 56 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 25 51 29 54 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 26 55 27 57 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 23 54 25 57 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 30 52 32 54 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 14 42 14 44 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 24 53 25 58 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 23 43 28 46 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 24 52 25 57 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 26 51 27 54 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 26 50 29 52 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 21 52 17 54 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 23 56 20 58 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 29 54 28 56 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 18 44 15 48 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 16 51 22 54 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 14 48 21 50 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 17 44 23 46 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 18 52 22 54 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 26 54 30 57 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 19 52 19 55 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 21 54 22 56 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 23 54 27 55 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 23 59 21 61 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 20 57 19 58 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 27 52 30 54 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 24 55 25 57 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 23 53 25 55 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 25 55 27 57 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 29 54 34 56 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM MST TUESDAY FOR SALT
BASIN.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM MST TUESDAY FOR NORTHERN HUDSPETH
HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN.
NM...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM MST TUESDAY FOR EAST
SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET.
FORECASTER...17-HEFNER
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