249
FXUS64 KEPZ 281153
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
453 AM MST WED JAN 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 430 AM MST WED JAN 28 2026
- DRY CONDITIONS, SEASONALLY COOL TEMPERATURES, AND LIGHT WINDS
TO PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 902 PM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
FREEZING FOG HAS BECOME AN ISSUE THE LAST COUPLE DAYS MOSTLY IN
HUDSPETH COUNTY. MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST A BIT OF PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT FOR THIS AREA BUT NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS
BAD AS WHAT WE SAW THE PAST COUPLE DAYS.
A VERY QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD.
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS, LIGHT WINDS AND A GENERAL UPWARD TREND
IN TEMPERATURES. THERE WILL BE SOME SLIGHT COOLING FRIDAY BUT
OTHERWISE AN UPWARD TREND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 430 AM MST WED JAN 28 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SCT-BKN250
PASS OVERHEAD FROM THE WEST, REACHING TOWARDS 15KFT LATER IN THE
PERIOD. WINDS REMAIN AOB 8KTS WITH SOME VARIABILITY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 430 AM MST WED JAN 28 2026
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE LOW THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. DRY
CONDITIONS WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE
REGION EARLY THU, BRINGING SOME BREEZY NW WINDS FOR NORTHERN
AREAS AND POCKETS OF ELEVATED FIRE WX. WINDS SUBSIDE DURING THE
DAY TOMORROW. A STRONGER COLD FRONT DIVES DOWN THE PLAINS ON SAT,
BUT THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE COLD
AIRMASS. A WIND SHIFT TO EASTERLY WOULD ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT. ERCS
ARE NEAR RECORD LOW LEVELS AFTER THE RECENT RAIN/SNOW. OVERNIGHT
RH RECOVERIES WILL BE GOOD TO VERY GOOD FOR THE MOST PART WITH
MORE FAIR RECOVERIES IN FWZ110 THROUGH THU NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
STAY NEAR NORMAL OR SEASONALLY COOL INTO THE WEEKEND.
MIN RHS RANGE FROM 20-45% THROUGH SAT, EXCEPT FWZ110 WHICH IS
12-25%. VENT RATES WILL BE MOSTLY POOR THROUGH THE WEEKEND; FAIR
TO GOOD FOR FWZ110 ON FRI.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 33 59 31 58 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 31 50 25 49 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 30 57 28 56 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 26 54 24 54 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 24 39 20 38 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 33 58 30 57 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 32 58 30 57 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 31 61 29 60 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 29 59 26 59 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 35 58 33 57 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 20 50 19 46 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 31 59 27 58 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 33 48 29 48 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 30 59 28 58 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 31 58 28 56 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 33 56 31 56 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 24 58 23 57 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 27 61 25 61 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 33 60 30 59 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 24 51 23 50 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 28 50 21 50 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 24 49 20 48 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 26 47 23 44 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 26 55 23 54 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 33 58 30 57 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 25 57 23 56 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 29 58 26 57 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 30 59 28 58 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 28 63 25 63 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 30 60 27 60 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 33 58 31 56 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 32 60 27 60 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 29 59 26 59 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 35 62 29 59 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 40 59 35 57 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...39-ARONSON
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page