646
FNUS74 KEPZ 061756
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR D-2 SLASH PIT...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1056 AM MST FRI FEB 6 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MST ON FEBRUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR
RAIN SHOWERS AND LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. MIN RH'S
WILL BE 40 TO 50% BOTH TOMORROW AND SUNDAY. WINDS BOTH DAYS WILL
BE LIGHT, RESULTING IN POOR TO FAIR VENT RATES BOTH AFTERNOONS.
WE WILL SEE A LITTLE BETTER VENT RATES FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY THEN
DRY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 13
TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (49300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........39 39 54 54 54 62 62 62 64 64 64
WEATHER COV.....NONENONESCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 30 30 30 20 20 20
TEMP............34 37 40 42 45 46 47 48 48 47 45
RH..............69 67 59 60 55 55 53 51 54 56 60
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 14 14 14 16 16 16 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.9 2.4 3.8 3.4 2.9 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW S S S SW SW SW SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 8 10 12 15 17 18 16 15 15 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 16 35 49 49 43 33 22 11 2
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........70 70 70 63 63 63 39 39 39 28 28 28
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH NONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............42 40 39 38 37 36 35 35 34 33 33 32
RH..............70 73 73 73 75 79 82 82 85 89 85 88
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 7 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 8 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
EAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........31 31 31 32 32 32 36 36 36 49 49 49
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RS RS RS
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20
TEMP............32 32 35 39 42 45 47 48 49 49 48 46
RH..............88 88 78 64 55 49 45 46 46 46 47 51
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 2.2 3.2 3.8 3.9 3.6 2.5 1.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W S S SE E NE NE E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 0 4 9 13 16 18 18 13 6 0
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
FORECASTER...BRICE
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW BARONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601473.5/EPZ
.DELDT 02/06/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BARONE@USDA.GOV
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