359
FNUS74 KEPZ 101706
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR CENTENNIAL RX...BLM-LAS CRUCES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1106 AM MDT TUE MAR 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MARCH 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM IMPACTING THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BRING LIGHT TO
MODERATE SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON. RH VALUES THIS
MORNING AND AFTERNOON WILL BOTTOM OUT AROUND 40 PERCENT WITH TEMPERATURES
IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY OUT OF THE WEST/NORTHWEST
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE AFTER SUNSET. OVERNIGHT RH
VALUES WILL RECOVER INTO THE 80-90 PERCENT RANGE. CONDITIONS WILL START TO
DRY OUT ON WEDNESDAY, WITH CONTINUE DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS LASTING THROUGH
ABOUT 1500. SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY THIS EVENING
WITH ISOLATED/LOW CHANCES OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1600.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60-80 PERCENT THROUGH 1500, DECREASING THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BETWEEN 60-65 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE AFTER SUNSET.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (55400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (84900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........72 78 78 78 70 57 57
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 50 20 20
TEMP............62 56 53 53 52 54 55
RH..............40 60 66 62 61 55 52
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..20 24 24 24 20 20 20
20 FT WIND GUST.30 40 40 40 40 35 35
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 2.5 2.6 3.0 3.5 3.7 3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 25 30 25 25 25 25
VRATE KT-FT/1K..57 55 68 66 77 80 85
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR GD GD GD GD GD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY, BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT)
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 TO 35 MPH IN
THE EVENING, DECREASING AFTER SUNSET
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (93000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (5500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........33 33 33 16 16 16 8 8 8 15 15 15
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 51 48 47 46 45 45 44 44 44 44 44
RH..............52 59 71 76 79 86 82 86 88 82 82 82
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..19 19 19 17 17 17 14 14 14 11 11 11
20 FT WIND GUST.35 30 30 30 30 30 25 25 25 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 21 21 20 20 18 17 17 18 18 20 21
VRATE KT-FT/1K..93 12 9 9 13 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-74 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
EAST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (77800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........18 18 18 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 43 44 50 57 61 65 68 69 70 70 70
RH..............76 79 76 61 47 39 31 25 21 21 18 18
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 12 12 12 13 13 13 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 23 23 23 23 23 23 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.1 2.7 4.1 5.3 6.5 6.5 6.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW N N NE NE NE NE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 17 18 18 17 17 16 15 14 14 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 6 6 13 24 32 39 58 69 78 77 69
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 7 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
FORECASTER...ROGERS
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605333.0/EPZ
.DELDT 03/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MMUNOZ@BLM.GOV,NMADC@FIRENET.GOV,ZANDREWS@BLM.GOV
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