495
FNUS74 KEPZ 111610
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR DRIPPING SPRINGS RX...US WILDLAND FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1010 AM MDT WED MAR 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON MARCH 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY AND WARM THE REST OF THE WEEK. LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW 5 TO 10
MPH UP DRIPPING SPRINGS CANYON THURSDAY AFTERNOON, WITH MIN RH
15-20%. WILL BE DIFFICULT TO GET ANYTHING BETTER THAN POOR
VENTILATION. SMOKE TRANSPORT WILL DRIFT NORTH TOWARD THE NEEDLES.
GOOD VENTILATION ON FRIDAY WITH WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DRIVING
SMOKE UP-CANYON. ELEVATED FIRE DANGER OVER THE WEEKEND AS WEST
WINDS INCREASE 15 TO 25 MPH AND RH FALLS TO SINGLE-DIGITS.
GRASSES AND BRUSH WILL DRY QUICKLY FROM YESTERDAY'S LIGHT RAIN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........4 3 1 1 2
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 58 63 67 68
RH..............36 28 24 21 19
20 FT WIND......E 5 SE 5 S 5 S 5 SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 14 14
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 700 1900 3700 4100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 S 8 S 7 SW 6 SW 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 5 12 21 25
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........3 3 3 3 3 2
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............66 61 58 57 55 54
RH..............19 23 26 27 29 28
20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 SW 3 W 2 W 2 NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 10 9 9 8
MIX HGT (FT)....3300 1000 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 8 W 8 W 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..20 6 0 0 0 0
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (68400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........2 2 2 1 1 2
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 56 64 70 75 76
RH..............28 24 18 14 11 10
20 FT WIND......N 2 N 2 N 3 W 5 W 5 W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 10 15 15 16
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 600 2600 5300 6600
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 6 NW 6 N 8 W 10 W 12 W 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 5 24 52 68
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. WEST WINDS
AROUND 6 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...JON SELBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605378.0/EPZ
.DELDT 03/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JSELBY@BLM.GOV
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