489
FNUS74 KEPZ 111647
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT BAYARD RX...NMSDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1047 AM MDT WED MAR 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY AND WARM THE REST OF THE WEEK. NORTH FLOW 5 TO 10 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON WITH SMOKE TRANSPORT SOUTH TOWARD FORT BAYARD. GOOD
VENTILATION THROUGH SUNSET. WIND WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE SOUTH ON
THURSDAY, BUT REMAIN LIGHT. WILL BE DIFFICULT TO GET ANYTHING
BETTER THAN FAIR VENTILATION FOR A FEW HOURS TOMORROW.
GOOD VENTILATION ON FRIDAY WITH WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DRIVING
SMOKE UP-CANYON. NEAR CRITICAL FIRE DANGER OVER THE WEEKEND AS
WEST WINDS INCREASE 15 TO 25 MPH AND RH FALLS TO 10 TO 15%.
YESTERDAY'S RAIN WILL HELP IN FIRE CONTROL, BUT FINE GRASSES AND
BRUSH WILL DRY QUICKLY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (62200 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........2 1 3 3
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............57 63 66 66
RH..............43 31 26 24
20 FT WIND......N 10 N 9 N 7 N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 14 14
MIX HGT (FT)....3200 5800 7800 6800
TRANSPORT WIND..N 26 N 16 N 13 N 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..62 81 86 71
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 12
TO 16 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (57500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........7 7 3 5 5 4
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............64 56 52 50 47 46
RH..............24 32 38 37 42 42
20 FT WIND......N 7 N 7 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 NE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 10 12 12 13
MIX HGT (FT)....5200 600 600 600 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..N 13 N 9 NE 10 NE 13 E 16 E 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..58 20 2 6 7 6
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7
TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 9
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (50600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........5 3 1 2
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 51 62 68
RH..............43 36 28 23
20 FT WIND......E 6G13 SE 5G12 S 7G14 SW 8G16
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1000 3500 5100
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 E 12 S 8 SW 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 10 25 41
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...NMSDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605441.0/EPZ
.DELDT 03/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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