485
FXUS64 KEPZ 281745
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1145 AM MDT SAT MAR 28 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1145 AM MDT SAT MAR 28 2026
- AFTER A BRIEF TWO DAY COOL DOWN, ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
RETURN ON SUNDAY.
- THE ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF
THE COMING WEEK.
- WE WILL HAVE BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITION MOST AFTERNOONS THIS
COMING WEEK.
- THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN IN AREA MOUNTAINS FOR SUNDAY
AND MONDAY AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1145 AM MDT SAT MAR 28 2026
AFTER YESTERDAY'S COLD FRONT AND GUSTY WINDS, TODAY WE GET TO
ENJOY COOLER TEMPERATURES (NEAR AVERAGE) AND MUCH LESS WINDS. ON
SUNDAY THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT HAS CONTROLLED OUR WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE PUSHING TO THE EAST. AT THE SURFACE OUR WINDS WILL COME
AROUND TO THE WEST AND WE WILL SEE A DECENT WARM UP. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL BE RUNNING AROUND 10 TO 12 DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE. LATE ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY A LITTLE MOISTURE WILL
MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH. THIS MOISTURE WILL GIVE US A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN MAINLY IN AREA MOUNTAINS. WE COULD SEE A
FEW DRY THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL. MONDAY'S HIGHS WILL RUN A COUPLE OF
DEGREES WARMER THAN SUNDAY'S HIGHS.
FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WE WILL SEE A ZONAL (WEST TO EAST) FLOW
ALOFT. WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN,
ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY, AGAIN MAINLY CONFINED TO AREA MOUNTAINS.
OUR HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE BOTH DAYS. OUR WINDS WILL BE BREEZY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
LITTLE WINDY ON WEDNESDAY AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH DASHES ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, WE WILL BE DRIER,
WITH CONTINUED BREEZY OR LOW END WINDY CONDITIONS IN THE
AFTERNOON. OUR HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL STILL RUN 5 TO 10 DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1145 AM MDT SAT MAR 28 2026
WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE SOME LOW END GUSTY EAST OR SOUTHEAST WINDS
TODAY. BUT THE WINDS WILL NOT BE VERY IMPACTFUL. FOR TONIGHT THE
GUSTINESS WILL DROP OFF AND WE WILL SEE LIGHT EAST OR SOUTHEAST
WINDS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. HIGH CLOUDS HAVE PUSHED INTO THE
REGION AND WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE CEILINGS OF BKN250 THROUGH THIS
EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1145 AM MDT SAT MAR 28 2026
WE WILL SEE QUIETER FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AS COOLER AIR
AND MIN RH'S ABOVE 20% WILL BE THE RULE. BUT IT WON'T LAST LONG,
AS SUNDAY WILL SEE WINDS COME BACK AROUND TO THE WEST (BUT NOT
STRONG) AND MIN RH'S WILL DROP BACK INTO THE TEENS IN THE
LOWLANDS AND IN THE 20'S IN AREA MOUNTAINS. FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK,
WE WILL HAVE A ZONAL (WEST TO EAST) WIND FLOW ALOFT WHICH WILL
GIVE US BREEZY TO WINDY (BUT NOT TOO WINDY) CONDITIONS EACH
AFTERNOON. WE WILL SEE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN SUNDAY AND MONDAY
AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY, MAINLY IN AREA MOUNTAINS. THE MOISTURE
WILL HELP KEEP MIN RH'S UP A LITTLE BUT BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THE
DRIER AIR WILL WIN OUT AND WE WILL SEE MIN RH'S WELL DOWN INTO
THE TEENS IN THE LOWLANDS AND IN THE UPPER TEENS OR LOWER 20'S IN
AREA MOUNTAINS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 51 87 58 89 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 45 82 50 85 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 46 84 52 86 / 0 0 0 10
ALAMOGORDO 46 84 51 86 / 0 0 0 10
CLOUDCROFT 38 64 44 65 / 0 10 0 20
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 49 85 56 84 / 0 10 0 20
SILVER CITY 46 79 51 77 / 0 10 10 30
DEMING 47 86 54 87 / 0 0 0 20
LORDSBURG 46 83 52 82 / 0 10 10 30
WEST EL PASO METRO 54 85 59 88 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 41 85 49 90 / 0 0 0 10
FORT HANCOCK 48 90 53 92 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 49 79 55 82 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 49 87 54 90 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 48 83 53 87 / 0 0 0 10
WHITE SANDS HQ 52 85 58 88 / 0 0 0 10
JORNADA RANGE 44 85 48 87 / 0 0 0 10
HATCH 45 88 50 89 / 0 0 0 10
COLUMBUS 50 85 58 87 / 0 0 0 10
OROGRANDE 46 82 51 86 / 0 0 0 10
MAYHILL 43 77 47 78 / 0 10 0 10
MESCALERO 38 75 45 76 / 0 10 10 20
TIMBERON 40 72 46 74 / 0 10 0 10
WINSTON 38 78 44 76 / 0 10 10 40
HILLSBORO 48 82 54 82 / 0 10 10 20
SPACEPORT 43 84 48 85 / 0 0 10 20
LAKE ROBERTS 43 80 47 77 / 0 10 10 40
HURLEY 44 82 50 80 / 0 10 10 20
CLIFF 44 85 48 84 / 0 10 10 40
MULE CREEK 44 82 50 79 / 0 10 10 40
FAYWOOD 47 80 53 80 / 0 10 10 20
ANIMAS 47 84 54 83 / 0 10 10 30
HACHITA 46 83 53 82 / 0 10 10 20
ANTELOPE WELLS 49 84 54 82 / 0 20 10 40
CLOVERDALE 53 80 55 77 / 0 20 20 40
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...15-BRICE
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page