241
FXUS64 KEPZ 292329
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
529 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 523 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2026
- WARM CONDITIONS THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PLENTY OF HIGH CLOUDS.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS FOR SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO MONDAY
AFTERNOON THEN AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.
- BREEZY CONDITIONS RETURN MIDWEEK, WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS EACH
AFTERNOON TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
- WE WILL BE A LITTLE COOLER FOR NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 957 AM MDT SUN MAR 29 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT BROUGHT US RECORD SETTING HEAT LAST
WEEK IS FINALLY MOVING OFF TO OUR EAST. FOR TONIGHT WE WILL HAVE
ONLY SOME HIGH CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION AND OUR WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT. FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY, A ZONAL (WEST TO EAST) FLOW
ALOFT WILL SET UP. THE ZONAL FLOW WILL GIVE US BREEZY AFTERNOONS
AND HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.
VERY WEAK SHORT WAVES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION IN THE ZONAL
FLOW AND THAT WILL GIVE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN IN AREA
MOUNTAINS.
ON WEDNESDAY, A STRONGER SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM WILL GIVE US A LITTLE STRONGER
WINDS AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND
SIERRA COUNTY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE NEAR
SEASONAL AVERAGES. FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE
THE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. AT THE SURFACE WE WILL HAVE MORE BREEZY
AFTERNOONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH DAYS WILL RUN 5 TO 10 DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE. FOR NEXT WEEKEND, A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY AND WE WILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES
FOR THE WEEKEND NEAR OR A LITTLE BELOW AVERAGE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 523 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE VALID PERIOD. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS
THIS EVENING THROUGH MID DAY MONDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND
8-11 KNOTS FROM THE WEST MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
KNOTS. OUTFLOW WINDS FROM ISOLATED CONVECTION AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN ON MONDAY AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE SUDDEN WIND
SHIFTS FOR KTCS AND KDMN MONDAY AFTERNOON. WE WILL CONTINUE TO
HAVE HIGH CEILINGS THROUGH MONDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 957 AM MDT SUN MAR 29 2026
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS BOTH THIS AFTERNOON
AND MONDAY AFTERNOON, MAINLY ALONG THE NM/AZ BORDER. MIN RH'S
TODAY AND MONDAY WILL BE IN THE TEENS IN THE LOWLANDS AND IN THE
20'S IN AREA MOUNTAINS. ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL ALLOW BREEZY TO
WINDY AFTERNOONS FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WE WILL BE NEAR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY WITH WEST WINDS OF
15 TO 20 MPH AND MIN RH'S IN THE TEENS IN THE LOWLANDS AND IN THE
20'S IN AREA MOUNTAINS. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN IN
AREA MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. FOR THE END OF THE WEEK, WE
WILL CONTINUE TO SEE BREEZY AFTERNOONS WITH MIN RH'S IN THE LOW TO
MID TEENS IN THE LOWLANDS AND IN THE 20'S IN AREA MOUNTAINS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 57 89 61 86 / 0 10 10 0
SIERRA BLANCA 51 85 54 82 / 0 10 10 0
LAS CRUCES 51 86 54 83 / 0 10 10 0
ALAMOGORDO 51 86 51 84 / 0 10 10 10
CLOUDCROFT 43 65 42 61 / 0 10 20 10
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 55 84 56 83 / 0 20 20 10
SILVER CITY 51 77 49 74 / 0 30 20 10
DEMING 53 87 54 84 / 0 10 10 10
LORDSBURG 51 82 50 81 / 0 20 20 10
WEST EL PASO METRO 59 88 61 85 / 0 10 10 0
DELL CITY 49 89 51 87 / 0 10 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 53 92 56 90 / 0 10 10 0
LOMA LINDA 54 82 55 79 / 0 10 10 0
FABENS 55 90 58 88 / 0 10 10 0
SANTA TERESA 53 86 57 84 / 0 10 10 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 57 88 60 86 / 0 10 10 0
JORNADA RANGE 48 86 50 84 / 0 10 10 10
HATCH 49 89 52 87 / 0 10 10 0
COLUMBUS 58 88 58 86 / 0 10 20 0
OROGRANDE 50 86 52 83 / 0 10 10 0
MAYHILL 48 78 46 74 / 0 10 10 10
MESCALERO 45 76 44 72 / 0 10 20 10
TIMBERON 45 74 46 70 / 0 10 10 10
WINSTON 44 76 44 75 / 10 30 20 10
HILLSBORO 55 83 54 81 / 0 20 20 10
SPACEPORT 47 85 48 83 / 0 10 20 10
LAKE ROBERTS 46 77 46 73 / 10 40 20 20
HURLEY 49 81 49 78 / 0 20 10 10
CLIFF 48 84 46 81 / 0 30 20 10
MULE CREEK 50 78 47 76 / 0 30 20 10
FAYWOOD 53 81 51 77 / 0 20 10 10
ANIMAS 53 83 52 82 / 10 30 30 10
HACHITA 52 83 51 81 / 10 20 20 10
ANTELOPE WELLS 54 83 52 81 / 10 40 30 10
CLOVERDALE 53 77 52 76 / 20 50 40 10
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...04-LUNDEEN
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