606
FXUS64 KEPZ 131650
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1050 AM MDT MON APR 13 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1005 AM MDT MON APR 13 2026
- BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AGAIN TUESDAY, WITH AT LEAST SOME
PATCHY BLOWING DUST. LIGHTER WINDS FOR WEDNESDAY.
- BREEZY TO WINDY AGAIN THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1005 AM MDT MON APR 13 2026
THE AREA WILL BE UNDER MID LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TODAY AS A CUTOFF
LOW TRACKS ACROSS SOCAL TODAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THE
FIRST FEW HOURS AFTER SUNSET AND THEN WILL BEGIN TO RELAX. TUESDAY
WILL FEATURE ANOTHER BREEZY DAY WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AS THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH WILL MAKE IT'S WAY OVER THE
FOUR CORNERS AND INTO CO. WIND SPEEDS TOMORROW LOOK SIMILAR TO
WHAT WE'LL SEE TODAY, BUT JUST A LITTLE WEAKER. BLOWING DUST
POSSIBLE AGAIN TOMORROW. WEDNESDAY WILL FEATURE THE LIGHTEST WINDS
OF THE WORK WEEK. WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY LOOKS DRY. BREEZY TO
WINDY CONDITIONS RETURN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ALONG WITH THE BLOWING
DUST THREAT. VERY DRY AIR AND BREEZY WINDS WILL INCREASE THE FIRE
WEATHER THREAT AS WELL.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 453 AM MDT MON APR 13 2026
AN APPROACHING PACIFIC TROUGH WILL INCREASE AFTERNOON WINDS, AND
BRING ENOUGH MID-LEVEL MOISTURE FOR CLOUDS, AND SHOWERS ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY. THIS COULD HAVE THREE DIFFERENT IMPACTS FOR AREA
TERMINALS; WINDS, DUST, AND PRECIPITATION. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE
WEST AND INCREASE TO THE 20-30 KT RANGE, THAT COULD MEAN SOME
BLOWING DUST, ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN AREAS. HOWEVER, THE
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO BE HIGH-BASED
AND LIGHT, WITH DOWNBURST AND OUTFLOW WINDS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL
MEAND PERIODS OF STRONGER WINDS, AND BLOWING DUST LATE AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY EVENING. TEMPO GROUPS AT DMN AND LRU TO ACCOUNT FOR
THIS. CONFIDENCE TOO LOW AT ELP.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1005 AM MDT MON APR 13 2026
ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TUESDAY DUE TO
BREEZY SOUTHWEST 20 FT WINDS AT 10-20 MPH. NEAR CRITICAL TO
CRITICAL MIN RHS ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE LOWLANDS OF SW NEW
MEXICO WITH VALUES GENERALLY 12-20% (30-40% IN THE AREA
MOUNTAINS). DRIER AIR PUSHES IN WEDNESDAY, CRASHING MIN RHS DOWN
TO THE SINGLE DIGITS (7-10% IN THE LOWLANDS, 15-20% IN MOUNTAINS).
HOWEVER, WINDS WILL BE THE LIGHTEST ON WEDNESDAY WITH SPEEDS OF
5-10 MPH. BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, COMBINED
WITH CRITICAL MIN RHS WILL ALLOW FOR NEAR CRITICAL TO CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. MIN RHS WILL STILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS THE LOWLANDS (5-10%) AND 10-15% IN THE AREA MOUNTAINS ON
THURSDAY. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE 10-20 MPH OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. THE
GILA REGION, BLACK RANGE, SIERRA COUNTY, HIGH TERRAIN IN THE NM
BOOTHEEL AND EVEN PORTIONS OF THE SACRAMENTO MTNS WILL HAVE THE
BEST CHANCE TO SEE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. BY FRIDAY, WILL STILL SEE
CRITICAL MIN RHS ACROSS THE LOWLANDS WITH VALUES OF 8-11% AND
15-20% IN THE MOUNTAINS. 20 FT WIND SPEEDS WILL BE AROUND 10-20
MPH AGAIN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 60 81 52 78 / 10 10 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 55 76 49 74 / 0 10 20 0
LAS CRUCES 52 77 43 74 / 10 10 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 52 76 43 74 / 20 10 10 0
CLOUDCROFT 38 53 32 51 / 20 10 10 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 52 74 45 74 / 10 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 42 64 36 66 / 40 0 0 0
DEMING 50 77 41 76 / 20 10 0 0
LORDSBURG 46 72 38 73 / 30 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 60 79 52 77 / 10 10 10 0
DELL CITY 52 80 47 77 / 0 10 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 60 84 53 81 / 0 10 10 0
LOMA LINDA 55 73 48 71 / 10 10 10 0
FABENS 59 82 51 79 / 0 10 10 0
SANTA TERESA 56 79 46 76 / 10 10 10 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 58 78 50 76 / 10 10 10 0
JORNADA RANGE 50 77 40 75 / 10 10 0 0
HATCH 52 78 40 77 / 10 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 55 80 46 77 / 10 10 0 0
OROGRANDE 51 77 45 74 / 10 10 10 0
MAYHILL 45 66 37 64 / 10 10 10 0
MESCALERO 42 64 34 62 / 20 10 10 0
TIMBERON 41 62 36 60 / 10 10 10 0
WINSTON 39 65 30 68 / 30 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 49 71 40 73 / 20 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 47 74 38 75 / 10 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 40 64 31 67 / 50 0 0 0
HURLEY 42 69 35 70 / 40 0 0 0
CLIFF 44 70 34 73 / 40 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 40 65 34 70 / 50 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 45 69 38 69 / 30 0 0 0
ANIMAS 49 75 40 75 / 20 0 0 0
HACHITA 49 75 40 75 / 20 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 50 76 40 75 / 10 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 47 70 40 70 / 10 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...37-SLUSHER
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