730
FNUS74 KEPZ 151133
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SEVEN CABINS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
533 AM MDT FRI MAY 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FIRE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN AT LEAST ELEVATED THROUGH TUESDAY
AS EACH AFTERNOON BECOMES BREEZY TO WINDY. SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WILL
BE THE WINDIEST DAYS WITH CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS MET OR EXCEEDED.
ERCS WILL REACH OR PASS THE 90TH PERCENTILE OVER THE NEXT 3-4 DAYS,
AND COMBINED WITH MIN RHS NEAR SINGLE DIGITS AND THE GUSTY WINDS,
RED FLAG WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED FOR SUNDAY AND POSSIBLY MONDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 18 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH AFTER 1800
MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10800 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (89100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (214800
KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........7 7 7 10 10 10 6 6 6 2 2 2
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 56 58 60 62 64 65 66 66 68 67 66
RH..............31 30 28 25 23 22 21 19 18 16 15 15
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 9 9 12 14 15 17 16 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 13 15 15 18 23 25 27 28 30 29
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 2.0 7.2 8.4 9.5 10 11 11 10 10 9.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 22 22 23 24 26 26 25 24 24 24
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 43 89 137 180 217 240 243 233 218 219 215
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR GD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (193800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO VERY GOOD (134600 KNOT-FT) LATE
IN THE NIGHT DECREASING TO GOOD (64300 KNOT-FT)
EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO POOR (0
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE NIGHT EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............65 63 59 58 56 55 54 54 53 52 51 51
RH..............15 15 18 18 19 18 17 18 18 19 20 20
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 13 13 13 15 15 15 15 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.28 26 24 23 21 20 20 21 21 21 21 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...9.2 7.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 18 17 20 20 20 18 20 20 20 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..194 135 64 9 0 0 10 10 10 9 7 5
VENTRATE CAT....EXL VGD GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........8 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 31 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 14
TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (95700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (115400
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (171600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............51 53 56 58 61 63 65 66 67 68 68 67
RH..............20 19 17 16 15 14 12 12 10 9 9 8
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 13 13 13 9 9 9 15 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 24 25 25 25 23 23 23 31 31 31
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.6 3.6 7.6 9.6 12 13 14 12 12 8.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 17 17 18 14 13 12 14 15 16 18 22
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 20 38 58 76 96 115 140 161 172 169 154
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 25 MPH.
MONDAY
BREEZY, CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 23 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 14 MPH.
FORECASTER...HEFNER
REQUESTED BY...HAYLEY BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613700.0/EPZ
.DELDT 05/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL FORD73DL@ICLOUD.COM,ERRICKK82@GMAIL.COM,HCHRISBOSS@GMAIL.COM
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