990
FNUS74 KEPZ 151148
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUMMINGBIRD FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
548 AM MDT FRI MAY 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FIRE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN AT LEAST ELEVATED THROUGH TUESDAY
AS EACH AFTERNOON BECOMES BREEZY TO WINDY. SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL
BE THE WINDIEST DAYS, AND COMBINED WITH MIN RHS IN THE LOWER TEENS
AND ERCS APPROACHING THE 90TH PERCENTILE, EXPECT CRITICAL FIRE
CONDITIONS SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (97300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (104100
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............45 48 52 56 59 62 65 67 69 71 69 68
RH..............49 42 35 30 24 20 17 16 13 12 12 12
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 7 7 7 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 20 20 20 22 22 22 23 23 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 2.6 4.0 4.7 5.8 7.0 7.6 8.0 8.1 7.9 7.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 12 16 16 17 16 16 15 16 15 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 18 37 56 72 86 97 107 113 114 112 104
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
25 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (89200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
SKY (%).........2 3 2
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
TEMP............65 51 46
RH..............13 21 30
20 FT WIND......SW 9G25 W 7G21 W 5G15
MIX HGT (FT)....6400 600 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 W 13 W 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..89 0 5
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD POOR POOR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 23
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (102300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (120300
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (155700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........2 1 1
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
TEMP............41 57 67
RH..............34 20 12
20 FT WIND......SW 4G13 SW 7G20 SW 9G25
MIX HGT (FT)....600 4600 7800
TRANSPORT WIND..W 10 SW 13 SW 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 48 120
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR VYGD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 18 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
FORECASTER...HEFNER
REQUESTED BY...E-651
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613499.3/EPZ
.DELDT 05/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL LUKE.CUSOMATO@GMAIL.COM
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