552
FNUS74 KEPZ 230012
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR LANGSTROTH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
612 PM MDT MON JUN 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON JUNE 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MAIN CONCERN FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE SUDDEN WIND SHIFTS
DUE TO ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS (VIRGA BOMBS). GREATER CUMULUS
GROWTH EXPECTED TOMORROW AS MOISTURE INCREASES, LEADING TO
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL CATRON COUNTY NORTH OF THE
FIRE PERIMETER. HIGHEST RISK FOR SUDDEN GUSTS WILL BE 4-6PM, WITH
WORSE-CASE SCENARIO BEING GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH (LIKELY OUT OF THE
NORTH). FIRE PERIMETER IS EXPECTED TO STAY DRY. PREVAILING WIND
OUT OF THE WNW TUESDAY WITH VERY GOOD VENTILATION AND TRANSPORT
ESE TOWARD THE LAKE ROBERTS/GILA CLIFF DWELLINGS AREA.
ISOLATED (20-30% COVERAGE) SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY, WITH THE MAIN RISK BEING SUDDEN OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS.
WEATHER GOES DRY AGAIN FRIDAY INTO THIS WEEKEND, THOUGH BREEZY
SOUTHWEST WINDS AND AFTERNOON RH 10-15% WILL CREATE NEAR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. ERCS REMAIN VERY DRY AND ANY ACTIVE FIRES
WILL BE ABLE TO SPREAD UNDER THESE CONDITIONS.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
7 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SUDDEN WIND SHIFTS
AROUND RAIN SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13400 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO
9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (107100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........1 3 3 33 52 52
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............57 77 82 86 85 84
RH..............30 17 15 13 13 14
20 FT WIND......N 6 NW 5 NW 5 W 7 NW 8 NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 13 15 16 16
MIX HGT (FT)....600 4600 11300 12500 13400 13100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 10 NW 12 W 9 W 8 W 9 W 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 46 73 96 107 98
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD VYGD GOOD
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (83200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........50 50 34 21 21 15
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............82 79 69 65 63 62
RH..............16 19 27 30 31 31
20 FT WIND......N 7 N 7 N 7 N 8 N 8 N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 15 16 16 20
MIX HGT (FT)....10400 1700 600 600 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9 N 12 N 10 N 13 N 15 N 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..83 28 0 6 7 5
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14400 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6
TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (112100 KNOT-FT) LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........7 12 36 51
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10
TEMP............60 72 81 86
RH..............33 24 16 14
20 FT WIND......N 9G22 NW 5G14 SW 5G12 W 6G15
MIX HGT (FT)....600 4300 13500 13700
TRANSPORT WIND..N 15 N 13 SW 6 SW 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 47 67 96
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 14 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...NMSDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2616007.0/EPZ
.DELDT 06/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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