309
FNUS74 KEPZ 291140
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR FIRE...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
540 AM MDT MON JUN 29 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON JUNE 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
DISCUSSION
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS AGAIN TODAY, BUT RUNNING SLIGHTLY LESS THAN
YESTERDAY. NO RED FLAGS, BUT STILL EXPECT NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR A FEW HOURS IN THE AFTERNOON. FIRE WEATHER
WATCH FOR TUESDAY AS SW WINDS LOOK TO PICK UP SLIGHTLY AGAIN, AND
RH VALUES DROP DOWN A TICK. ERCS REMAIN AROUND THE 90TH PERCENTILE
AND NO IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED WITHOUT RAINFALL, WHICH LOOKS
UNLIKELY THROUGH AT LEAST THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 30
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (203400 KNOT-FT) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........7 1 2 5
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 61 73 78
RH..............40 34 22 16
20 FT WIND......W 9G18 SW 10G20 SW 13G25 SW 14G28
MIX HGT (FT)....600 3300 6900 9200
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16 SW 30 SW 28 SW 25
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 87 165 203
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD EXNT EXNT
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 13
MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (166200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO VERY GOOD (102400 KNOT-FT) LATE
IN THE NIGHT DECREASING TO POOR (5500 KNOT-FT)
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........7 8 8 7
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............74 66 61 57
RH..............19 27 30 34
20 FT WIND......SW 12G25 W 8G21 W 6G14 SW 5G13
MIX HGT (FT)....8700 600 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 23 W 16 W 13 SW 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..166 9 7 6
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT POOR POOR POOR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 33 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 25
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (214500 KNOT-FT) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........11 2 5 7
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 61 72 76
RH..............37 34 21 14
20 FT WIND......SW 7G16 SW 9G20 SW 12G27 SW 17G33
MIX HGT (FT)....600 4100 8100 9700
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 23 SW 25 SW 25
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 83 179 215
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD EXNT EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...JOSHUA JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2616124.3/EPZ
.DELDT 06/29/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHARLESBWINSTON13@GMAIL.COM,ECLARKSONRAY@GMAIL.COM,NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV,JOSHUA.JOHNSON@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page