052
FNUS74 KEPZ 301152
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR FIRE...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
552 AM MDT TUE JUN 30 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON JUNE 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY, WITH WINDS
FALLING SHORT OF RED FLAG CRITERIA. (NOTE THAT SLAUGHTER RAWS TENDS
TO RUN WITH A LOWER SUSTAINED WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS). EXPECT THE
RECENT TREND DRY AND BREEZY SOUTHWEST FLOW TO CONTINUE THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS, WITH MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES STAYING WELL EAST OF
THE GILA REGION. RH RECOVERY WILL BE LIMITED EACH NIGHT.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON, SLIGHTLY HIGHER ALONG EAST-FACING
SLOPES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 25
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING EXCELLENT (219400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........10 5 6 8
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............54 61 72 77
RH..............41 37 24 17
20 FT WIND......SW 5G10 SW 7G12 SW 12G20 SW 14G25
MIX HGT (FT)....500 4100 8400 10000
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 SW 23 SW 25 SW 25
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 84 184 219
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD EXNT EXNT
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 32 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 13
MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (177200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO VERY GOOD (110100 KNOT-FT) LATE
IN THE NIGHT DECREASING TO POOR (3900 KNOT-FT)
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........9 7 7 7
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............74 66 60 55
RH..............18 24 29 35
20 FT WIND......SW 15G25 W 9G20 W 5G13 SW 3G9
MIX HGT (FT)....9200 700 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 23 SW 16 W 13 SW 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..177 11 6 5
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT POOR POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10
TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON,
FEW GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (187400 KNOT-FT) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........10 2 3 3
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 61 72 75
RH..............37 29 16 11
20 FT WIND......S 4G12 SW 8G15 SW 10G17 SW 11G21
MIX HGT (FT)....600 4000 9900 11000
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 S 20 SW 22 SW 23
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 67 188 220
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD EXNT EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT WINDS.
INDEPENDENCE DAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...JOSHUA JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2616124.4/EPZ
.DELDT 06/30/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSHUA.JOHNSON@USDA.GOV,NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV,ECLARKSONRAY@GMAIL.COM,CHARLESBWINSTON13@GMAIL.COM
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