971
FNUS74 KEPZ 041156
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR FIRE...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
556 AM MDT SAT JUL 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
VERY DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY AND SUNDAY, WITH MIN RHS
AROUND 10-17 PERCENT. CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM SUNDAY, WITH DRY
LIGHTNING A POSSIBILITY. MOISTURE AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE
EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 9
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13200 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO
10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (94800 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........81 63 76 85
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY NONE NONE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10
TEMP............57 68 78 82
RH..............18 11 11 10
20 FT WIND......NW 10G24 NW 7G16 N 7G18 N 9G17
MIX HGT (FT)....600 2000 12900 13200
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15 NW 13 W 9 W 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 22 95 91
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (78200 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........85 73 68 78
WEATHER COV.....S CHC NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........S CHC NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10
TEMP............80 70 66 63
RH..............12 19 23 27
20 FT WIND......N 9G18 NW 8G16 NW 8G23 NW 5G16
MIX HGT (FT)....9800 3400 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9 NW 13 NW 13 NW 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..78 29 7 6
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD POOR POOR POOR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. PATCHY SMOKE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (85000 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........88 84 93 95
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE S CHC PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR SMOKE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE S CHC NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 20 30
TEMP............62 69 75 77
RH..............30 23 18 18
20 FT WIND......NW 5G15 N 3G13 E 3G14 S 3G14
MIX HGT (FT)....600 4700 10400 8900
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 12 N 12 SW 9 S 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..17 47 85 84
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND
60. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...HEFNER
REQUESTED BY...JOSHUA JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2616724.0/EPZ
.DELDT 07/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSHUA.JOHNSON@USDA.GOV,NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV,CHARLESBWINSTON13@GMAIL.COM,ECLARKSONRAY@GMAIL.COM
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