547  
FNUS74 KEPZ 131839  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ALLIE CANYON TRAIL WORK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
1239 PM MDT MON JUL 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1518 MDT ON JULY 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW TODAY WITH  
COVERAGE EXPECTED TO BE SPOTTY ACROSS THE GILA. THUS, RAINFALL  
AMOUNTS WOULD BE VERY LIGHT, LESS THAN 0.25", SHOULD ANY RAINFALL  
OCCUR. FOR TUESDAY, THE RISK FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
INCREASES AS DOES THE RISK FOR FLOODING. EXPECTED RAINFALL TOTALS,  
SHOULD A STORM OCCUR, INCREASE TO ABOUT 0.50" WITH ABOUT A 15%  
CHANCE FOR TOTALS OVER AN INCH WITH ABOUT A 10% CHANCE FOR TOTALS  
AS HIGH AS 1.5". THE MOST LIKELY TIMING FOR STORMS WOULD BE AFTER  
2PM, BUT STORMS MAY LINGER WELL INTO THE EVENING. OTHERWISE,  
EXPECT SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID  
80S.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........51 51  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20  
SURFACE WIND....SE 11 SE 11  
SURFACE WND GST.16 16  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...36 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........21 21 21 13 13 13 51 51 51 53 53 53  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONESCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 40 40 40 30 30 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 20 30 40 30 20 30  
SURFACE WND DIR.E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE  
SURFACE WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 8 8 8 8 8 8  
SURFACE WND GST.5 5 5 8 8 8 12 12 12 12 12 12  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.  
 
 
FORECASTER...BROWN  
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN STULTZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2616937.5/EPZ  
.DELDT 07/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRIAN.STULTZ@USDA.GOV  
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