107
FNUS74 KEPZ 211214
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR RUIDOSO LOOKOUT TOWER PILES RX...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
614 AM MDT MON SEP 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY WITH LIGHT 20 FOOT WINDS OF AROUND 5 MPH
AND A MIN RH OF 26%. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE QUITE WET WITH MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS THAT COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING. MIN RHS WILL BE 53% TUESDAY THEN 84% WEDNESDAY. 20 FOOT
WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT BREEZIER TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS OF 5-10 MPH
FROM THE SOUTHEAST BUT WILL BE AROUND 5 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY BECOMING 9 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WEDNESDAY DUE TO
THE CLOUDS AND EXPECTED RAIN.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (47800 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........42 55 58 58 60
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 71 76 75 74
RH..............57 34 26 29 32
20 FT WIND......SW 1 SW 2 S 4 S 4 S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 13 13 14
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 8200 9600 9100 7700
TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 S 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 33 48 46 38
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR FAIR POOR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 14 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6300 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........38 38 58 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 20 20 20
TEMP............68 63 60 59 57 55
RH..............40 46 55 62 75 86
20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 2 E 3 NE 6 NE 6 NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 13 13 12
MIX HGT (FT)....3300 1000 1400 1200 900 600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 E 8 E 13 SE 13 SE 14 SE 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 9 16 14 11 6
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN
THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE
MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE
MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (41700 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........100 93 87 88
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE DEFNTE DEFNTE
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 60 80 80
TEMP............54 60 70 67
RH..............93 87 55 63
20 FT WIND......E 4G12 SE 6G16 SE 7G20 SE 8G21
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1700 4600 4100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 SE 12 SE 10 SE 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 17 41 37
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR POOR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
AROUND 70. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...SLUSHER
REQUESTED BY...JON CRANE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622223.0/EPZ
.DELDT 09/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JONATHAN.CRANE@USDA.GOV
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