499
FNUS74 KEPZ 281207
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX ARRASTRA...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
607 AM MDT MON SEP 28 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
INCREASING MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES TODAY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
THIS MORNING, BECOMING SCATTERED IN THE AFTERNOON AND WIDESPREAD
TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE BREEZIER TODAY, SHIFTING SOUTHERLY THIS
AFTERNOON AT 10 TO 15 MPH, GUSTING TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
OUTFLOW WINDS ARE POSSIBLE INTO TONIGHT. FAIR VENTILATION IS
FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES. SCATTERED
TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH
HIGH RAIN RATES AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE. DRIER CONDITIONS
RETURN FOR WEDNESDAY AS WINDS SHIFT WESTERLY AND REMAIN BREEZY. GOOD
VENTILATION IS FORECAST LATER IN THE WEEK.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (52700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........56 64 83 83 90
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 40 80
TEMP............59 65 67 65 64
RH..............69 65 65 73 78
20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 10 S 12 S 12 S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.17 23 23 23 21
MIX HGT (FT)....1600 3300 3700 3200 2000
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 S 15 S 17 S 15 S 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 44 53 43 26
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR FAIR FAIR POOR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8000 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........91 91 81 90 90 96
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 100 80 80 100
TEMP............61 58 57 56 56 56
RH..............90 96 96 100 96 96
20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 S 6 S 6 S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 13 13 15
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1000 1100 1000 1300 1600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 S 9 S 10 S 9 S 12 S 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 10 8 9 12 14
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS
THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (13000 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........97 95 90 92
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).100 100 80 90
TEMP............56 56 57 57
RH..............96 100 100 100
20 FT WIND......S 8G17 S 9G20 S 7G14 S 9G17
MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1200 1400 1600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 13 S 12 SE 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 13 15 16
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
FORECASTER...ARONSON
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622435.5/EPZ
.DELDT 09/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL GROMERO@BLM.GOV,JSELBY@BLM.GOV,MMUNOZ@BLM.GOV,NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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