311  
FNUS74 KEPZ 052256  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RENDEZVOUS PILES D5 DISTRICT WIDE PILES RX...USDA FS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
456 PM MDT MON OCT 5 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 MDT ON OCTOBER 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE FORECAST THROUGH MIDWEEK. FOR TONIGHT,  
WINDS START OUT AROUND 10 MPH FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST, BECOMING  
LIGHT OVERNIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST DUE TO DRAINAGE FLOW. OVERNIGHT  
RH RECOVERY WILL BE EXCELLENT. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND MOSTLY  
VARIABLE DURING THE DAY TOMORROW, SHIFTING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST LATE IN  
THE DAY. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES PERSIST WITH NO CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH  
TUESDAY. VENTILATION RATES WILL BE POOR THROUGH THE DAY, PEAKING  
AROUND 30,000 KT-FT. VENTILATION IMPROVES TO THE FAIR CATEGORY FOR  
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, APPROACHING GOOD FOR THURSDAY. WINDS REMAIN  
VERY LIGHT AND MOSTLY VARIABLE FOR WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE  
NEAR NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW-MID 70S INTO MIDWEEK AND BETTER  
MIXING HEIGHTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (44200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 5 PM  
SKY (%).........18  
WEATHER COV.....NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0  
TEMP............70  
RH..............47  
20 FT WIND......SE 9G17  
MIX HGT (FT)....4400  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..44  
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2400 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM  
SKY (%).........18 13 11  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............67 53 49  
RH..............52 86 93  
20 FT WIND......SE 8G17 E 5G12 E 3G8  
MIX HGT (FT)....3100 500 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 SE 8 SE 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..31 4 3  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2500 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........25 11 14 22  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 53 70 75  
RH..............96 89 51 41  
20 FT WIND......E 1G3 E 2G5 SE 3G7 SE 5G13  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1000 5000 6000  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 6 SE 6 SE 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 5 25 30  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
FRIDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...ARONSON  
REQUESTED BY...L CARVER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623133.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 10/05/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LIZ.CARVER@USDA.GOV  
 
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