375
FNUS74 KEPZ 052315
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX WAGON WHEEL WEST PILES FY27...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
515 PM MDT MON OCT 5 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON OCTOBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE FORECAST THROUGH MIDWEEK. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT ON TUESDAY, STARTING EASTERLY AND SHIFTING MORE SOUTH DURING
THE AFTERNOON. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES PERSIST WITH NO CHANCE OF RAIN
THROUGH TUESDAY AS MIN RHS REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
VENTILATION RATES WILL BE POOR THROUGH THE DAY, PEAKING AROUND
35,000 KT-FT, SO APPROACHING THE FAIR CATEGORY. OVERNIGHT RH
RECOVERIES WILL BE EXCELLENT TUESDAY NIGHT WITH LIGHT DRAINAGE FLOW
DEVELOPING FROM THE NORTHWEST. VENTILATION WILL AGAIN NEAR THE FAIR
CATEGORY FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE FORECAST
FOR WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE
LOW-MID 70S AND BETTER MIXING HEIGHTS FOR WEDNESDAY. SLIGHT RAIN
CHANCES RETURN FOR THURSDAY.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (39000 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........21 13 13 13 14 14
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............48 56 65 70 72 73
RH..............96 83 58 49 46 43
20 FT WIND......E 5 SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 S 7 S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 13 14 14
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1500 3500 4800 5600 5000
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 E 9 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 12 21 29 35 35
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2800 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........11 11 12 14 14 12
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............71 64 58 55 54 52
RH..............47 60 75 80 80 86
20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 NE 3 NW 3 NW 3 NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 9 8 8 7
MIX HGT (FT)....3000 500 500 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 SE 7 SE 7 E 6 E 7 NE 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 3 3 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (40100 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........18 8 9 23
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10
TEMP............51 59 72 74
RH..............86 69 41 38
20 FT WIND......NE 3G8 E 3G9 S 4G12 SE 4G12
MIX HGT (FT)....500 900 6700 7400
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 7 E 7 E 7 S 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 5 40 37
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR POOR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
FORECASTER...ARONSON
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622975.1/EPZ
.DELDT 10/05/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV,TY.OLIVER@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.ORLET@USDA.GOV,BENJAMIN.CRUM@USDA.GOV
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