979
FNUS74 KEPZ 131242
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SKINNER UNIT 2 PILES RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
642 AM MDT TUE OCT 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON OCTOBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LOW FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THE NEXT FEW DAYS. BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS
TODAY AND WEDNESDAY, THOUGH MIN RHS STAY ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THURSDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE IN LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH A RAPID WIND SHIFT TO THE
EAST. EXPECT GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY, WITH SOME
SHOWERS.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO
17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 26
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (107900 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........7 2 6 6 9
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 58 64 68 66
RH..............66 51 35 32 32
20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 11 SW 17 SW 17 SW 16
20 FT WIND GUST.12 15 25 28 24
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 3800 4500 4400 3600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 SW 22 SW 26 W 23 W 23
VRATE KT-FT/1K..36 86 108 102 66
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD VYGD VYGD GOOD
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4300 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........8 8 8 10 10 11
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............59 51 48 45 44 42
RH..............42 56 60 60 57 57
20 FT WIND......W 9 W 9 W 5 NW 5 NW 5 NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 12 9 9 9
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 500 500 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 W 10 W 12 NW 12 W 13 W 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..19 6 4 5 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 10 TO 19 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 8 TO
12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE EAST 16 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO AROUND 26 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (101300 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........12 13 12 20
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............40 49 59 63
RH..............62 46 33 31
20 FT WIND......NW 3G8 N 3G10 NE 10G21 E 19G32
MIX HGT (FT)....500 600 5200 5600
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9 NW 8 S 9 E 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 5 56 96
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 23 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS AROUND
60. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...HEFNER
REQUESTED BY...JON CRANE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623657.0/EPZ
.DELDT 10/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JONATHAN.CRANE@USDA.GOV
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