097  
FNUS74 KEPZ 131626  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ADAIR 1 PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
1026 AM MDT TUE OCT 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES PERSIST THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SLIGHT CHANCES OF LIGHT RAIN  
SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON, LATER THIS EVENING, AND THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. DRY CONDITIONS  
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. 20 FOOT WINDS WILL BE BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY  
AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA THURSDAY EVENING AND INTO FRIDAY  
BRINGING VERY WINDY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. LINGERING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS FRIDAY  
AFTERNOON AND PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES FRIDAY WITH  
SOME RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE LATE.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 36 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 TO 29 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (98800 KNOT-FT) .  
 
TIME (MDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........58 58 58 48  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20  
TEMP............51 54 58 59  
RH..............96 83 67 62  
20 FT WIND......SW 12 SW 14 SW 14 SW 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.31 35 35 36  
MIX HGT (FT)....2300 3100 4000 3800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 26 SW 28 SW 29 SW 25  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..52 75 98 83  
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (57200 KNOT-FT) .  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........53 53 69 51 51 48  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 30 30 30  
TEMP............58 52 49 47 46 44  
RH..............64 86 96 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND......SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 SW 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 29 29 24  
MIX HGT (FT)....3200 1500 1400 1200 1200 800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 21 SW 16 SW 18 SW 17 SW 17 SW 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..57 21 23 19 17 11  
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
23 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (96000 KNOT-FT) .  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........39 8 7 6  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 42 53 60  
RH..............100 82 43 26  
20 FT WIND......SW 7G23 SW 8G22 SW 8G22 W 7G22  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1900 4800 6600  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16 W 15 W 16 W 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 25 87 96  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
THURSDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.    
FRIDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...SLUSHER  
REQUESTED BY...NMSDC  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623701.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 10/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV  
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