858  
FNUS74 KEPZ 131745  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX WAGON WHEEL NORTH PILES...GILA NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
1145 AM MDT TUE OCT 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 MDT ON OCTOBER 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
VERY LOW CHANCES FOR RAIN TONIGHT, BUT NON-ZERO. EXPECT WINDS TO START INCREASING  
IN THE LATE MORNING TOMORROW WITH BREEZES PERSISTING INTO THE AFTERNOON OUT OF THE WEST.  
DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. WINDS SHIFT NORTHERLY EARLY  
THURSDAY MORNING AND THEN WILL SHIFT EASTERLY THAT AFTERNOON AND WILL BECOME VERY  
WINDY LATE THURSDAY AND OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS A POTENT COLD FRONT PUSHES  
THROUGH. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS OUT OF THE EAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND MUCH COOLER.  
RAIN CHANCES POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING.  
 
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......15 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7700 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........50 50 57  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).15 10 0  
TEMP............53 52 51  
RH..............83 89 93  
20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 W 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 800 700  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 W 12 W 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 9 8  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (64300 KNOT-FT) .  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........67 67 46 7 7 7  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 50 55 60 61 63  
RH..............96 96 74 53 48 39  
20 FT WIND......W 8 W 8 W 12 W 12 W 12 W 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 24 23 23 22  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 1500 2700 3500 4000 3600  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 14 W 18 W 17 W 18 W 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 33 48 60 64 54  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD FAIR  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
8 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........6 8 8 7  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............59 49 45 42  
RH..............40 52 53 57  
20 FT WIND......NW 8G20 N 5G12 NE 8G15 NE 7G15  
MIX HGT (FT)....2000 500 500 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 NW 8 N 9 NE 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..26 4 4 4  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND  
7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
6 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4500 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........13 6 3  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............40 55 67  
RH..............59 40 26  
20 FT WIND......NE 7G13 NE 5G13 E 3G12  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 2700 5700  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 10 NE 12 SE 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 20 40  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...SLUSHER  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL ORLET  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623710.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 10/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV,BENJAMIN.CRUM@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.ORLET@USDA.GOV,TY.OLIVER@USDA.GOV  
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