295
FNUS74 KEPZ 140816
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR ADAIR 1 PILES...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
216 AM MDT WED OCT 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON OCTOBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WE WILL HAVE GOOD FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY WITH MIN
RH'S IN THE MID TO UPPER 20'S AND SOUTHWEST WINDS THAT WILL BE
OCCASIONALLY GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON, BUT WILL STAY BELOW CRITICAL
VALUES. WE WILL HAVE GOOD RH'S RECOVERIES WEDNESDAY NIGHT, ABOVE
80%, ALONG WITH SOME FREEZING TEMPERATURES. ON THURSDAY A BACK
DOOR (EAST TO WEST) COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION AND
THAT WILL SWING OUR WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE EAST BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. MIN RH'S ON THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE IN THE MID
20'S. FRIDAY WILL BE A NICE DAY, BUT THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR
RAIN OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX ON SATURDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (97900 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........27 9 6 6 6
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 49 54 59 62
RH..............100 74 48 33 27
20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 8 SW 7 SW 7 W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 23 23 23
MIX HGT (FT)....2000 3200 5400 5900 5600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16 SW 21 W 20 W 20 W 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..34 54 97 98 72
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD GOOD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4500 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........4 4 8 10 10 12
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............58 47 41 36 34 31
RH..............30 49 62 72 78 85
20 FT WIND......NW 5 NW 5 N 4 NE 3 NE 3 NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 15 13 13 10
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 600 500 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 10 N 9 N 10 N 12 N 12 N 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..22 5 5 5 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10 TO 12
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (53500 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........14 8 7 9
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............31 37 55 63
RH..............85 72 40 26
20 FT WIND......NE 3G13 NE 5G14 NE 5G15 NE 5G20
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1400 4400 5600
TRANSPORT WIND..N 12 N 13 NE 12 NE 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 15 39 50
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...BRICE
REQUESTED BY...NMSDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623701.1/EPZ
.DELDT 10/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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