844
FXUS64 KEWX 182046
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
246 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 219 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
THE COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS AS OF 1:50 PM
CST. WENT THE COLD FRONT WAS MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN TWO-THIRDS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING TO ABOUT NOON TIME, SOME
PEOPLE GOT TO EXPERIENCE RAIN AMOUNTS OF ONE TENTH TO QUARTER INCH.
SOME LUCKY ONES GOT CLOSE TO THREE QUARTER OF AN INCH WHILE THE
SOUTHWEST OF THE LOCAL AREA/SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE SAW VERY LITTLE TO
NOTHING. THE COLD FRONT BROUGHT A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES
AS IT MOVED FROM WEST TO EAST. SEVERAL LOCATIONS EXPERIENCED A 10 TO
ALMOST 20 DEGREE DROP IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. THE OTHER STORY
ABOUT THE FRONT PASSAGE CONTINUES TO BE THE MODERATE TO STRONG WIND
GUSTS WITH HIGHEST SPEEDS RANGING FROM THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
EARLIER THIS MORNING, WIND GUST REPORTS FROM LLANO, BURNET, AND DEL
RIO TO NAME A FEW CAME IN AT 40 TO 45 MPH. THESE GUSTY CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO STAY AROUND TO LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
THE DRY AND COOLER AIR MASS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT IS SPREADING
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE TEENS AND
LOWER 20S ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE, PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS
PLATEAU AND TO THE EAST OF INTERSTATE 35 INCLUDING BEXAR, WILSON AND
KARNES COUNTIES. THIS SITUATION BRINGS FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR
THOSE AREAS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS
IN EFFECT THROUGH 5 PM CST.
EXPECT CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS FROM THE WEST AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS RANGING FROM THE LOWER 40S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU TO LOWER 50S OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS.
TUESDAY'S HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 70S
ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY TO MID 80S ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS. A NEW
SURGE OF COLD AIR ARRIVES LATE TUESDAY NIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER
COLD FRONT. IT IS A DRY FRONT AND BRINGS A COLDER AIR MASS THAN THE
ONE OF TODAY'S FRONT. UNDER CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO DROP TO THE LOWER
40S ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND 50S ELSEWHERE.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 219 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER TEXAS FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.
COOL, DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON BREEZY WINDS FROM THE NORTH WILL COVER THE EASTERN
COUNTIES, BUT BY EVENING LIGHT WINDS WILL COVER THE CWA. MAINLY CLEAR
SKIES WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL LEAD TO GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING. LOW
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY BE THE LOWEST OF THE
SEASON. MODEL SOLUTIONS DO NOT INCLUDE ANY FREEZING TEMPERATURES,
SOME THE USUAL COOL SPOTS MAY REACH THAT LEVEL. WITH THE DRY AIR,
CLEAR SKIES, AND LIGHT WINDS TEMPERATURES WILL VARY WIDELY FROM LOW
TO HIGH THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. WE EXPECT CHILLY MORNINGS AND WARM
AFTERNOONS. SATURDAY RETURN FLOW FROM THE GULF WILL BEGIN TO BRING
WARMER, MOISTER AIR BACK TO OUR CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BACK TO
WELL ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1148 AM CST MON NOV 18 2024
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR THE LOCAL AREA TERMINALS THROUGH THIS
CYCLE. A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH TO THE EAST OF THE TERMINALS
AND EXITING THE LOCAL AREA MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. IN THE WAKE OF THE
COLD FRONT, NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 25 KNOTS ARE FORECAST THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS
DIMINISH TO 10 KNOTS OR SO BY 23Z. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED THIS
EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THE NORTHWEST WIND COMPONENT REMAINS
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 52 82 50 70 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 49 82 49 69 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 51 85 50 71 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 49 78 46 66 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 52 83 50 73 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 50 79 47 68 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 47 82 49 71 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 49 82 49 70 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 49 82 50 70 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 53 83 52 71 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 51 84 53 72 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT-TERM...17
LONG-TERM...05
AVIATION...17
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