320
FXUS64 KEWX 192013
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
213 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 211 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS SHOWING NO
CLOUDS WITH SUNNY SKIES ALL OVER THE STATE OF TEXAS. TODAY'S HIGHS
ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
HILL COUNTRY AND LOWER 80S ELSEWHERE. NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS AROUND
5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ARE DOMINATING THE LOCAL
AREA. WIND SPEEDS BECOME LIGHTER TO ABOUT 6 MPH OR LESS THIS
EVENING. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PUSH FROM CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT
INTO THE HILL COUNTRY DURING THE LATE OVERNIGHT PERIOD (CLOSER TO
DAWN). OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 40S
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND WESTERN HILL COUNTRY TO 40S
AND 50S ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35, COASTAL PLAINS AND THE
SOUTHERN PART OF THE RIO GRANDE.
THE COLD FRONT ABOVE MENTIONED IS FORECAST TO PUSH ACROSS THE HILL
COUNTRY INCLUDING THE AUSTIN METRO AREA AROUND/BETWEEN 6 AM TO 8 AM
AND AROUND/BETWEEN 8 AM AND 10 AM OVER THE SAN ANTONIO METRO AREA.
NORTHERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FOR MOST OF THE
MORNING PERIOD. THE DRY FRONT BRINGS COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA ALONG WITH LOW HUMIDITY VALUES. WEDNESDAY'S HIGHS ARE
FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE MID 60S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS
PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY TO UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S FOR AREAS ALONG
AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35. UPPER 70S ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PART OF THE RIO GRANDE. OVERALL, COOLER AND DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. HOWEVER, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
ARE IN PLAY WITH LOW HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S
OVER THE LOCAL AREA. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO 15 MPH OR
BELOW IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE COULD BE A PERIOD OF A FEW HOURS WHERE
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE CRITERIA ARE MET OVER SOME LOCATIONS OF THE HILL
COUNTRY AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT COULD
BE ISSUED FOR WEDNESDAY IN FUTURE SHIFTS IF DATA TRENDS CONTINUE.
CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING IS FORECAST
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT/OVERNIGHT WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 30S AND
40S. SOME LOCATIONS COULD REACH THE FREEZING MARK ESPECIALLY
PROTECTED AREAS ALONG RIVER BANKS AND VALLEYS.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER TEXAS FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. A
COOL, DRY AIRMASS WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS TEXAS. WITH THIS DRY AIR,
CLEAR SKIES, AND LIGHT WINDS TEMPERATURES WILL VARY WIDELY FROM LOW
TO HIGH THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. WE EXPECT CHILLY MORNINGS, WITH
LOWS IN THE 40S, AND WARM AFTERNOONS, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S. SATURDAY
RETURN FLOW FROM THE GULF WILL BEGIN TO BRING WARMER, MOISTER AIR
BACK TO OUR CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BACK TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER STILL MONDAY AND MAY APPROACH
RECORD HIGHS. WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY WITH HIGHS MORE
LIKE LATE SEPTEMBER THAN LATE NOVEMBER.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1142 AM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR AREA TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS OF 6 KNOTS OR LESS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A COLD FRONT
IS FORECAST TO PUSH ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. NORTHERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED
WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS ALONG AND BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE
BOUNDARY AROUND 09Z THROUGH 13Z THROUGH THE TERMINALS. BREEZY AND
GUSTY CONDITIONS STAY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 49 69 42 74 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 49 69 39 73 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 50 71 40 74 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 46 66 39 72 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 50 73 45 75 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 47 67 39 73 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 49 70 40 72 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 48 69 38 73 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 49 69 36 72 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 51 70 43 72 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 53 71 43 73 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT-TERM...17
LONG-TERM...05
AVIATION...17
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