510
FXUS64 KEWX 200430 CCA
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1030 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 211 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS SHOWING NO
CLOUDS WITH SUNNY SKIES ALL OVER THE STATE OF TEXAS. TODAY'S HIGHS
ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
HILL COUNTRY AND LOWER 80S ELSEWHERE. NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS AROUND
5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ARE DOMINATING THE LOCAL
AREA. WIND SPEEDS BECOME LIGHTER TO ABOUT 6 MPH OR LESS THIS
EVENING. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PUSH FROM CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT
INTO THE HILL COUNTRY DURING THE LATE OVERNIGHT PERIOD (CLOSER TO
DAWN). OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 40S
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND WESTERN HILL COUNTRY TO 40S
AND 50S ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35, COASTAL PLAINS AND THE
SOUTHERN PART OF THE RIO GRANDE.
THE COLD FRONT ABOVE MENTIONED IS FORECAST TO PUSH ACROSS THE HILL
COUNTRY INCLUDING THE AUSTIN METRO AREA AROUND/BETWEEN 6 AM TO 8 AM
AND AROUND/BETWEEN 8 AM AND 10 AM OVER THE SAN ANTONIO METRO AREA.
NORTHERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FOR MOST OF THE
MORNING PERIOD. THE DRY FRONT BRINGS COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA ALONG WITH LOW HUMIDITY VALUES. WEDNESDAY'S HIGHS ARE
FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE MID 60S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS
PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY TO UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S FOR AREAS ALONG
AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35. UPPER 70S ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PART OF THE RIO GRANDE. OVERALL, COOLER AND DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. HOWEVER, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
ARE IN PLAY WITH LOW HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S
OVER THE LOCAL AREA. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO 15 MPH OR
BELOW IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE COULD BE A PERIOD OF A FEW HOURS WHERE
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE CRITERIA ARE MET OVER SOME LOCATIONS OF THE HILL
COUNTRY AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT COULD
BE ISSUED FOR WEDNESDAY IN FUTURE SHIFTS IF DATA TRENDS CONTINUE.
CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING IS FORECAST
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT/OVERNIGHT WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 30S AND
40S. SOME LOCATIONS COULD REACH THE FREEZING MARK ESPECIALLY
PROTECTED AREAS ALONG RIVER BANKS AND VALLEYS.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER TEXAS FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. A
COOL, DRY AIRMASS WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS TEXAS. WITH THIS DRY AIR,
CLEAR SKIES, AND LIGHT WINDS TEMPERATURES WILL VARY WIDELY FROM LOW
TO HIGH THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. WE EXPECT CHILLY MORNINGS, WITH
LOWS IN THE 40S, AND WARM AFTERNOONS, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S. SATURDAY
RETURN FLOW FROM THE GULF WILL BEGIN TO BRING WARMER, MOISTER AIR
BACK TO OUR CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BACK TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER STILL MONDAY AND MAY APPROACH
RECORD HIGHS. WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY WITH HIGHS MORE
LIKE LATE SEPTEMBER THAN LATE NOVEMBER.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1021 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTHWEST WINDS
PERSIST AROUND 5 TO 7 KNOTS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. A SECONDARY
AND REINFORCING DRY COLD FRONT THEN ARRIVES OVERNIGHT. AT THE I-35
SITES (KAUS, KSAT, AND KSSF), WINDS WILL RESPOND BY SHIFTING AND
INCREASING OUT OF THE NORTH. GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
FROM EARLY MORNING INTO MID-AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY. WINDS THEN
SUBSIDE LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE TURNING LIGHT AND VARIABLE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT BEYOND SUNSET. AT KDRT, WINDS REMAIN BELOW 10 KTS DURING
THE PERIOD WITH DIRECTIONS OUT OF THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 49 69 41 74 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 47 69 34 73 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 49 71 37 74 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 45 66 37 72 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 49 73 43 75 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 46 67 36 73 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 46 70 36 72 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 47 69 35 73 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 50 69 36 72 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 50 70 40 72 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 51 71 40 73 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT-TERM...17
LONG-TERM...05
AVIATION...BRADY
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