769
FXUS64 KEWX 200453 AAA
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1053 PM CST THU DEC 19 2024
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 134 PM CST THU DEC 19 2024
SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- CONTINUED DRY AND CLEAR CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY
- A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY WITH A
LIGHT FREEZE FORECAST SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY
CHAMBER OF COMMERCE WEATHER IS ONGOING TODAY ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL
TEXAS WITH SUNNY SKIES, LOW DEW POINTS, AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S.
EXPECT A CLEAR AND SEASONAL NIGHT, WITH LOW TEMPERATURES FORECAST IN
THE MID 30S ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY TO LOW TO MID 40S MOST OTHER
LOCATIONS. A WEAK COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO BACKDOOR INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE AN INCREASE IN
NORTHEAST WINDS ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR BY MIDDAY AND RE-
ENFORCE THE DRY AIR IN PLACE. COLDER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TOMORROW NIGHT ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY, I-35 CORRIDOR, AND COASTAL
PLAINS, WHERE LOW TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST IN THE LOW TO MID 30S,
AND A FEW DRAINAGE SPOTS IN THE HILL COUNTRY IN THE UPPER 20S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 134 PM CST THU DEC 19 2024
KEY MESSAGES:
- MOISTURE RETURNS WITH WARMER MORNINGS MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
- ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES CHRISTMAS EVE, BRINGING THE THREAT
FOR SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OR TWO TO EASTERN
AREAS TUESDAY EVENING.
- CONTINUED NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CHRISTMAS DAY AND
BEYOND.
A RATHER PROGRESSIVE LONG WAVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LONG
TERM PERIOD. ON SATURDAY, COOLER AIR WILL LINGER, WITH HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S AND MAINLY SUNNY SKIES. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT
AND OUT OF THE EAST BEFORE SHIFTING TO A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION
BY THE EVENING. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TO
RETURN BACK TO SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS, WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY MORNINGS
MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND BREAKS IN THOSE CLOUDS BY AFTERNOON.
OUR NEXT SHOT AT RAIN ARRIVES TUESDAY AS A QUICK MOVING DISTURBANCE
OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES DIVES SOUTH INTO NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY
MORNING. A SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE RED RIVER VALLEY IN
RESPONSE TO THIS UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE TUESDAY AND SLIDE EASTWARD,
SENDING A COLD FRONT IN OUR DIRECTION. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ALONG THIS
EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT, SOME OF WHICH MAY BE ABLE
TO TAP INTO SOME INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND UPPER-LEVEL
DYNAMICS AND BRING SOME GUSTY WINDS TO OUR AREA. THIS FRONT SHOULD
BE THROUGH THE ENTIRE REGION BY CHRISTMAS MORNING, WITH TEMPERATURES
IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S EXPECTED CHRISTMAS DAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1049 PM CST THU DEC 19 2024
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 8 TO 12 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS OF
15 TO 25 KNOTS ALONG THE I-35 SITES ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. VFR
CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST CYCLE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 44 66 36 62 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 38 66 29 62 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 42 69 34 64 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 39 64 33 62 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 45 72 46 69 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 38 64 30 61 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 41 70 36 64 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 41 66 33 62 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 42 67 33 62 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 45 68 38 63 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 44 70 38 64 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT-TERM...17
LONG-TERM...CJM
AVIATION...17
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page