733
FXUS64 KEWX 260700
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
200 AM CDT SAT APR 26 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 AM CDT SAT APR 26 2025
KEY MESSAGE:
- SEASONABLY WARM
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING PASSES OVERHEAD THIS WEEKEND. WARM MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES PROVIDE A CAPPING INVERSION TO INHIBIT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT OVER OUR AREA. A WEAK STEERING FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP ANY
DRYLINE AND SERRANIAS DEL BURRO STORMS WEST OF OUR AREA UNTIL JUST
BEYOND THIS FORECAST ON SUNDAY EVENING. HOWEVER, CANNOT RULE OUT A
FEW SHOWERS DUE TO HEATING OF A SEASONABLY MOIST AIRMASS OVER OUR
AREA TODAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW MAINTAINS SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 AM CDT SAT APR 26 2025
A WEAK DISTURBANCE OVER NORTHERN MEXICO COULD GENERATE SOME SUNDAY
EVENING CONVECTION OVER VAL VERDE COUNTY AS IT LOSES STEAM WHILE
MOVING OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND INTO AN UPPER RIDGE OVER TX. WARM
AND HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUE MONDAY WITH ANOTHER FEW CLAPS OF
THUNDER POSSIBLE OVER VAL VERDE COUNTY MONDAY NIGHT.
TUESDAY'S H5 PATTERN OVER TX SHOWS A SLIGHTLY SUPPRESSED RIDGE OVER
EAST TX, WITH THE 00Z GFS SHOWING DEEPER MOISUTRE WHILE THE MID LEVEL
DRY AIR LOOKS LESS CAPABLE OF KEEPING THE CAP STRONG. THUS SOME
GARDEN VARIETY STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CARRYING
OVER INTO WEDNESDAY. LATE WEDNESDAY, A GOOD AMOUNT OF VORTICITY
SWOOPS INTO WEST CENTRAL TX WHICH COULD UPSCALE THE STORMS INTO A
STRONG TO SEVERE LINE WHICH WILL PULL THE CONVECTIVE FOCUS EAST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT ARRIVES THURSDAY, BUT IT IS RELATIVELY
WEAK UNDER A ZONAL PATTERN ALOFT, AND IT WILL POTENTIALLY ALLOW FOR
SOME OVERRUNNING SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR FRIDAY INTO NEXT SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1234 AM CDT SAT APR 26 2025
MVFR CIGS DEVELOP OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. IFR CIGS
AND BR ARE POSSIBLE EARLY MORNING 11Z-15Z AND HAVE TEMPOS THEN. KAUS
HAS THE BEST CHANCES FOR REDUCED VSBYS DUE TO THE RAINS ON FRIDAY.
CIGS RISE TO VFR BY MIDDAY. MVFR CIGS REDEVELOP SATURDAY NIGHT. S TO
SE WINDS PREVAIL WITH BREEZY/GUSTY CONDITIONS DURING THE DAYTIME
INTO EVENING HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 86 69 89 71 / 10 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 86 68 89 70 / 10 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 87 68 89 69 / 10 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 83 67 87 69 / 10 10 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 91 71 95 73 / 0 0 0 10
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 85 67 89 70 / 10 10 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 87 67 90 69 / 10 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 86 67 88 69 / 10 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 87 69 88 70 / 10 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 85 69 89 71 / 10 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 87 70 91 72 / 20 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT-TERM...04
LONG-TERM...18
AVIATION...04
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