935
FXUS64 KEWX 120702
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
202 AM CDT THU JUN 12 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 128 AM CDT THU JUN 12 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
- FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH THE DAY TODAY.
- LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN LIKELY ALONG AND EAST OF HWY 281.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING ACROSS TX TONIGHT, AND THERE IS A
STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHED OVER CENTRAL TX. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
IS MOVING ACROSS THE I-35 CORRIDOR, AND THERE ARE ISOLATED CELLS
AHEAD OF THE LINE IN THE COASTAL PLAINS. THIS CONVECTION WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE START OF THE NEW FORECAST PERIOD. STORM MOVEMENT IS
SLOW, AND THEY ARE PRODUCING HIGH RAINFALL RATES. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
IS POSSIBLE. WE WILL CONTINUE THE FLOOD WATCH OVER THE EASTERN HALF
OF THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF ONE TO
THREE INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. SHOWERS
AND STORMS WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA TONIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH
MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN FROM THE
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST KEEPING THE AIRMASS WARM AND MOIST. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH
LIFT TO GENERATE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY
FRIDAY. CONDITIONS DO NOT LOOK FAVORABLE FOR STRONG STORMS OR HEAVY
RAIN.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 128 AM CDT THU JUN 12 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
- DRIER WEATHER RETURNS.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO WEST TX FRIDAY NIGHT KEEPING
THE WEATHER DRY OVER OUR WESTERN AREA. THIS WILL KEEP NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE CWA. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
CONTINUE WARM AND MOIST. WITH DAYTIME HEATING THERE WILL BE LOW
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA. TUESDAY THE UPPER RIDGE
SHOULD BUILD FAR ENOUGH EAST TO DRY OUT THE ENTIRE CWA. THEN
WEDNESDAY IT WILL RETREAT BACK TO THE WEST ALLOWING LOW RAIN CHANCES
OVER THE EAST AGAIN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT THU JUN 12 2025
THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING INTO THE SAN ANTONIO AREA AND CEILINGS HAVE
LOWERED. ANY STORM THAT MOVES ACROSS AN AIRPORT WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY AND PRODUCE STRONG, GUSTY WINDS. STORMS SHOULD MOVE INTO
AUSTIN WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR. THERE'S ABOUT A THREE HOUR WINDOW FOR
STORMS TO MOVE THROUGH. ONCE THE LINE MOVES THROUGH, THERE WILL BE
ISOLATED SHOWERS WITH LIGHTNING POSSIBLE. ALL OF THE RAIN SHOULD BE
GONE BY AROUND NOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 87 74 94 76 / 60 10 20 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 86 73 93 76 / 70 10 20 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 88 73 93 75 / 80 10 20 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 87 72 91 74 / 40 0 10 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 97 78 101 78 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 85 73 92 75 / 50 0 20 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 90 74 95 75 / 50 0 10 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 87 73 93 75 / 80 10 20 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 84 75 90 76 / 90 20 40 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 88 76 94 77 / 70 10 20 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 90 76 95 78 / 70 10 20 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-
BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DE WITT-FAYETTE-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-
HAYS-KARNES-KENDALL-KERR-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MEDINA-TRAVIS-WILLIAMSON-
WILSON.
SHORT-TERM...05
LONG-TERM...05
AVIATION...05
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page