307
FXUS64 KEWX 122027
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
327 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 303 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
- FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7PM FOR I-35 CORRIDOR AND
POINTS EAST.
- ANY STORMS THAT FORM AND MOVE OVER ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL
QUICKLY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING.
THE STORMS THAT BROUGHT SIGNIFICANT FLOODING TO THE SAN ANTONIO
METRO AND OTHER LOCATIONS IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS HAVE FINALLY PUSHED
SOUTH INTO THE CORPUS CHRISTI CWA. DESPITE THE ATMOSPHERE BEING
FAIRLY WORKED OVER FROM STORMS OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING, WE ARE
STILL EXPECTING LOW CHANCES FOR REDEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, PARTICULARLY OVER THE HILL COUNTRY AND EDWARDS PLATEAU
WHERE THE ATMOSPHERE HAS RECOVERED A BIT MORE THIS AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES UNDERNEATH THE ANVIL OF STORMS MOVING SOUTH WILL BE
MUCH COOLER, IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S FOR HIGHS TODAY. OUTSIDE
OF THAT, HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO UPPER 90S WILL BE COMMON.
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY, RESULTING IN ANOTHER SHOT AT
SHOWERS AND STORMS, BUT COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED AT BEST, IN STARK CONTRAST TO LAST NIGHT'S STORM COVERAGE.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S
FOR MOST OUTSIDE OF THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS WHERE HIGHS WILL TOP OUT
IN THE 100-105 RANGE FRIDAY. INCREASED MOISTURE IN THE SOIL WILL ADD
TO THE HUMIDITY FRIDAY, WITH FEELS LIKE TEMPERATURES IN THE 103-111
RANGE.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 303 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND AND THIS WILL LEAD TO A GRADUAL DECREASE IN RAIN
CHANCES ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. FOR NOW, WE WILL KEEP RAIN
CHANCES CONFINED TO AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE
35 CORRIDOR, WITH A DRY FORECAST ELSEWHERE. WE MAY NEED TO ADD SOME
LOW RAIN CHANCES TO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND
HILL COUNTRY GIVEN WEAK NORTHWEST TO NORTH FLOW ALOFT. AS WE HEAD
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES
TO BUILD FROM FAR WEST TEXAS INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES. WE WILL
LIMIT RAIN CHANCES TO AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 77 WITH
THE UPPER RIDGE INTACT. TEMPERATURES SHOULD GENERALLY STAY RIGHT
AROUND CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS FOR MID-JUNE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1226 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2025
FEW CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST OTHER THAN TO REMOVE MENTION
OF THUNDER IN THE TAFS. EXPECT A RETURN TO MVFR CEILINGS TONIGHT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS INCREASE SOMEWHAT ON FRIDAY, AROUND 10 KTS OUT
OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 72 93 76 94 / 10 30 0 20
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 71 92 76 94 / 10 30 10 20
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 72 93 75 94 / 10 30 0 20
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 70 92 74 93 / 0 20 0 10
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 76 101 79 101 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 70 92 75 93 / 0 30 0 10
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 71 94 75 95 / 0 20 0 10
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 71 93 75 94 / 10 30 10 20
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 72 89 75 92 / 20 40 0 30
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 74 94 76 94 / 10 20 0 20
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 74 95 77 96 / 10 20 0 20
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR BASTROP-BEXAR-CALDWELL-
COMAL-DE WITT-FAYETTE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-LAVACA-LEE-
MEDINA-TRAVIS-WILLIAMSON-WILSON.
SHORT-TERM...PLATT
LONG-TERM...MMM
AVIATION...PLATT
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