107
FXUS64 KEWX 130531
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1231 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 303 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
- FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7PM FOR I-35 CORRIDOR AND
POINTS EAST.
- ANY STORMS THAT FORM AND MOVE OVER ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL
QUICKLY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING.
THE STORMS THAT BROUGHT SIGNIFICANT FLOODING TO THE SAN ANTONIO
METRO AND OTHER LOCATIONS IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS HAVE FINALLY PUSHED
SOUTH INTO THE CORPUS CHRISTI CWA. DESPITE THE ATMOSPHERE BEING
FAIRLY WORKED OVER FROM STORMS OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING, WE ARE
STILL EXPECTING LOW CHANCES FOR REDEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, PARTICULARLY OVER THE HILL COUNTRY AND EDWARDS PLATEAU
WHERE THE ATMOSPHERE HAS RECOVERED A BIT MORE THIS AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES UNDERNEATH THE ANVIL OF STORMS MOVING SOUTH WILL BE
MUCH COOLER, IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S FOR HIGHS TODAY. OUTSIDE
OF THAT, HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO UPPER 90S WILL BE COMMON.
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY, RESULTING IN ANOTHER SHOT AT
SHOWERS AND STORMS, BUT COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED AT BEST, IN STARK CONTRAST TO LAST NIGHT'S STORM COVERAGE.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S
FOR MOST OUTSIDE OF THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS WHERE HIGHS WILL TOP OUT
IN THE 100-105 RANGE FRIDAY. INCREASED MOISTURE IN THE SOIL WILL ADD
TO THE HUMIDITY FRIDAY, WITH FEELS LIKE TEMPERATURES IN THE 103-111
RANGE.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 303 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND AND THIS WILL LEAD TO A GRADUAL DECREASE IN RAIN
CHANCES ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. FOR NOW, WE WILL KEEP RAIN
CHANCES CONFINED TO AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE
35 CORRIDOR, WITH A DRY FORECAST ELSEWHERE. WE MAY NEED TO ADD SOME
LOW RAIN CHANCES TO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND
HILL COUNTRY GIVEN WEAK NORTHWEST TO NORTH FLOW ALOFT. AS WE HEAD
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES
TO BUILD FROM FAR WEST TEXAS INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES. WE WILL
LIMIT RAIN CHANCES TO AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 77 WITH
THE UPPER RIDGE INTACT. TEMPERATURES SHOULD GENERALLY STAY RIGHT
AROUND CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS FOR MID-JUNE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2025
LOW CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM OVER THE ESCARPMENT AND WILL BUILD
BACK OVER SAN ANTONIO AND AUSTIN DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
CEILINGS SHOULD GENERALLY BE MVFR, BUT COULD OCCASIONALLY DROP TO
IFR. LOW CEILINGS WILL REACH DRT BY AROUND SUNRISE. THERE IS SOME
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON, BUT CHANCES ARE
TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE TAFS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 93 76 94 76 / 30 0 20 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 92 76 94 75 / 30 10 20 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 93 75 94 75 / 30 0 20 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 92 74 93 73 / 20 0 10 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 101 79 101 78 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 92 75 93 74 / 30 0 10 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 94 75 95 74 / 20 0 10 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 93 75 94 74 / 30 10 20 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 89 75 92 75 / 40 0 30 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 94 76 94 76 / 20 0 20 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 95 77 96 77 / 20 0 20 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT-TERM...PLATT
LONG-TERM...MMM
AVIATION...05
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page