465
FXUS64 KEWX 290608
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
108 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES, ESPECIALLY HIGHS.
- LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST AREAS WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE.
- LIGHT CONCENTRATIONS OF SAHARAN DUST ALOFT WITH NO IMPACT ON
SURFACE VISIBILITIES.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 108 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO WILL BRING DEEPER MOISTURE OVER OUR AREA
TODAY. THIS ALLOWS FOR CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS FAR
WEST AS THE I-35 CORRIDOR DUE TO HEATING AND THE SEABREEZE. THE
TROUGH WEAKENS WHILE THE RIDGE REMAINS RATHER STATIONARY ON MONDAY.
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST INTO
PORTIONS OF THE HILL COUNTRY, AS WELL AS THE WINTER GARDEN REGION OF
THE RIO GRANDE. WITH PWS NEARING 2 INCHES, CANNOT RULE OUT LOCALLY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS. MOISTURE LOADING MAY CREATE GUSTY WINDS AS THE
STORMS COLLAPSE. SOME SAHARAN DUST MOVING OVER OUR AREA MAY INHIBIT
CONVECTIVE PROCESSES MAKING FOR A LOWER CONFIDENCE FORECAST WITH
RESPECT TO RAIN CHANCES. WHILE THE SKIES OVERHEAD MAY BECOME HAZY
DUE TO THE DUST ALOFT, SURFACE VISIBILITIES WILL NOT BE IMPACTED.
NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE, EXCEPT HIGHS TURN BELOW AVERAGE
ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS ON MONDAY DUE TO INCREASED MOISTURE AND
CLOUDS.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 108 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST AND EAST WHILE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING LINGERS OVER MEXICO THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE
ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT THE SEASONAL MONSOON APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST MID TO LATE WEEK. UNSEASONABLY MOIST PWS CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH
OF THE PERIOD. HEATING AND SEABREEZE WILL FORCE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. THE MONSOON PROVIDES ADDITIONAL MOISTURE AND
FORCING FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY OVER THE EDWARDS
PLATEAU AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS. AS A RESULT, HIGHER CHANCES FOR RAIN
WILL BE ACROSS THOSE AREAS. THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS
AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUES. BELOW AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS MOST AREAS DUE TO THE INCREASED MOISTURE/CLOUDS.
HOWEVER, NEAR AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN
AREAS CLOSER TO THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 108 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
MVFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR AROUND
08-10Z, POSSIBLY REACHING AS FAR WEST AT DRT AROUND 12Z. SIMILAR TO
PREVIOUS DAYS, CEILINGS WILL BE SHORT LIVED WITH VFR CONDITIONS
RETURNING AROUND MID-MORNING. THERE ARE SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCES FOR
ISOLATED OR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WHICH
MAY MAKE IT TO THE I-35 CORRIDOR. HAVE INCLUDED PROB30 GROUPS FOR
SAT/SSF WHICH HAVE THE GREATEST CHANCES TO SEE ANY ACTIVITY DURING
THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, SOUTHEASTERLY WIND CONTINUES TODAY WITH
GUSTY CONDITIONS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 96 75 96 75 / 20 0 20 10
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 95 74 95 74 / 20 10 20 10
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 93 73 93 72 / 20 10 20 10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 95 73 94 72 / 10 0 20 10
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 99 77 95 75 / 0 10 20 30
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 96 74 96 74 / 10 0 10 10
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 93 73 91 72 / 20 10 30 10
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 94 73 94 72 / 20 10 20 10
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 92 74 94 73 / 40 10 30 10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 93 75 92 74 / 20 10 30 10
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 93 74 93 74 / 20 10 30 10
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT-TERM...04
LONG-TERM...04
AVIATION...27
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