864  
FXUS64 KEWX 080541  
AFDEWX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  
1241 AM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025  
   
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- SEASONABLY HOT AUGUST TEMPERATURES AND HEAT INDICES  
 
- SLIGHT CHANCES (15-30%) FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025  
 
TYPICAL SUMMER-LIKE CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY AS THE SUBTROPICAL  
RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER NEW MEXICO WITH ITS INFLUENCE EXTENDING OVER  
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TODAY WITH HIGHS IN  
THE MID 90S TO AROUND 103 DEGREES UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. WE MAY  
SHAVE OFF A FEW DEGREES FOR HIGHS SATURDAY, BUT OTHERWISE HOT  
CONDITIONS CONTINUE. THE RIDGE SHIFTS SLIGHTLY MORE WEST BY SATURDAY  
AFTERNOON LEAVING SOME LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR OUR FAR EASTERN  
COUNTIES DUE TO THE SEABREEZE. ELSEWHERE REMAINS DRY.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025  
 
AN INVERTED TROUGH PUSHES EAST OVER THE TEXAS COAST SUNDAY AND MAY  
EVENTUALLY MOVE FURTHER INLAND EARLY NEXT WEEK ALONG WITH A PASSING  
TROUGH TO THE NORTH. THE RESULT OF THIS PATTERN WILL BE SOME LOW  
RAIN CHANCES MAINLY CONFINED TO THE COASTAL PLAINS SUNDAY THEN  
SPREADING FURTHER WEST ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS MONDAY AND  
TUESDAY. THERE REMAINS A DECENT AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY IN MODELS FOR  
ANY PRECIPITATION WEST OF THE COASTAL PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK,  
THEREFORE PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR THESE LOCATIONS REMAIN CAPPED AT  
20 PERCENT. MID TO LATE WEEK RAIN CHANCES RETREAT BACK TO THE  
COASTAL PLAINS. HIGHS SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK REMAIN SEASONABLE IN THE  
90S OR LOW 100S WITH FORECAST HEAT INDEX VALUES EACH DAY BELOW HEAT  
ADVISORY CRITERIA. LOWS EACH NIGHT WILL MAINLY BE IN THE 70S.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(06Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT FRI AUG 8 2025  
 
VFR SKIES TO PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT 30 HOURS. A FEW LOW CLOUDS  
COULD DEVELOP NEAR SSF AND AREAS SOUTHEAST AFTER 09Z. LIGHT TO  
MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 7 TO 12 KTS RETURN TOMORROW WITH A FEW  
EARLY EVENING GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS MAINLY DRT/SAT/SSF.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 100 77 98 76 / 0 0 0 0  
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 99 75 98 74 / 0 0 0 0  
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 99 74 98 73 / 0 0 0 0  
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 97 74 96 73 / 0 0 0 0  
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 102 78 101 78 / 0 0 0 0  
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 99 76 98 74 / 0 0 0 0  
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 100 73 99 73 / 0 0 0 0  
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 100 74 98 73 / 0 0 0 0  
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 97 75 96 74 / 0 0 10 0  
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 99 76 98 76 / 0 0 0 0  
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 101 76 100 76 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT-TERM...27  
LONG-TERM...27  
AVIATION...18  
 
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