860
FXUS64 KEWX 071835
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
135 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW.
- ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS EACH AFTERNOON.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 119 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE IS SEEN THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE MAIN
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY DRAPED ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WHICH WILL BRING LOW
RAIN CHANCES TO THE AREA THROUGH TOMORROW. RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE
LIGHT WITH THE HREF ONLY SHOWING A FEW ISOLATED LOCATIONS WITH MORE
THAN A 25 PERCENT CHANCE FOR RAIN TOTALS GREATER THAN 0.25". FOR
MANY, DRY WEATHER UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE. THE COLD
FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH TODAY BEFORE STALLING THIS EVENING. IT
COULD REACH INTO THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY AND I-35 CORRIDOR EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING AND STALL NEAR THAT AREA THROUGH THE DAY. MODELS
DO CONTINUE SOME LOW RAIN CHANCES ON WEDNESDAY FAVORED IN THE WEST
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE AND OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. SHOWERS
OR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WOULD BE SPOTTY AGAIN THIS DAY WITH
MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES BOTH TODAY AND WEDNESDAY REMAIN
ON THE WARM SIDE WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 80S TO MID 90S AND
LOWS FROM THE MID 60S TO LOW 70S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 119 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE A WARM AND DRY FORECAST THROUGH
THE LONG TERM PERIOD. HIGHS EACH AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO BE ABOVE
NORMAL MAINLY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S. DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE
AREA FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR SOME COOLER
MORNING LOWS EACH NIGHT. INCREASING MOISTURE EARLY NEXT WEEK BRINGS
LOWS BACK UP INTO THE 60S FOR MOST LOCATIONS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 119 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
PRIMARY CONCERNS FOR THIS TAF PERIOD REVOLVE AROUND THE TIMING OF
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SOME SHRA IS POSSIBLE ALONG WITH SOME VCTS BUT
OPTED TO KEEP ANY PRECIP OUT OF THE FORECAST AS CONFIDENCE IN
COVERAGE IS LOW, WITH LESS THAN A 20% CHANCE FOR MOST LOCATIONS. A
FEW/SCT LAYER WILL PERSIST BETWEEN 2.5K AND 7K FEET THROUGH THE DAY
TODAY. TONIGHT, EXPECT VFR CEILINGS WITH COOLER AND SLIGHTLY DRIER
AIR BEHIND THE FRONT. WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTHEASTERLY THROUGH THE
PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 71 93 70 92 / 10 10 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 70 94 68 93 / 10 10 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 69 93 68 93 / 10 10 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 68 87 68 87 / 10 10 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 72 91 73 92 / 20 30 10 10
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 68 92 68 91 / 10 10 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 69 92 68 92 / 10 10 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 69 95 68 93 / 10 10 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 70 94 68 92 / 10 10 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 72 92 71 92 / 10 10 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 73 94 72 94 / 10 10 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...MMM
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