245
FXUS64 KEWX 082308
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
608 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY EVENING MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN
HILL COUNTRY, SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU, AND RIO GRANDE.
- LOW HUMIDITY, COOLER MORNINGS, AND WARM AFTERNOONS FRIDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1256 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
THE HIGHEST MOISTURE TODAY RESIDES OVER THE WESTERN HILL COUNTRY,
SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS WHERE ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE FAVORED THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. ELSEWHERE, SLIGHTLY
DRIER IS IN PLACE WITH NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS. SPOTTY RAIN
TOTALS FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS TO AROUND 0.5 INCH ARE EXPECTED,
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL END
THIS EVENING WITH DRY WEATHER RETURNING FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD
AND FOR THE LONG TERM FORECAST.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1256 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
MID-LEVEL RIDGING DOMINATES OVER TEXAS FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND AS
DRIER AIR FILTERS IN THE LOW LEVELS DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING
INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST. THIS DRIER AIR WILL BRING
DEWPOINTS INTO THE MID AND LOW 50S FOR MANY LOCATIONS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY WHICH WILL AID IN SOME LOWER MORNING TEMPERATURES IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. HIGHS WILL STILL BE ON THE WARM SIDE EACH AFTERNOON.
THERE IS SOME MODEL UNCERTAINTY IF THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EAST OR
STAYS OVERHEAD OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT EITHER
WAY IT DOES LOOK LIKE INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE GRADUALLY RETURNS
TO THE AREA INCREASING LOW TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK. HIGHS CONTINUE TO
STAY STAGNANT FROM THE UPPER 80S TO LOW OR MID 90S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 601 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD. MAIN CONCERN IS THE VERY ISOLATED CHANCE OF -SHRAS FOR
KDRT THOUGH THE CHANCE IS LOW, EXPECT MOST ACTIVITY TO DIE OFF
AROUND SUNSET. HAVE KEPT THE MENTION OF VCSH THROUGH 01Z JUST IN
CASE. SOME GUSTY WINDS AFFECTING KAUS HOWEVER AFTER SUNSET THINGS
SHOULD QUIET DOWN WITH LIGHT EAST NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. WINDS RAMP
UP A BIT FOR ALL SITES EXCEPT KDRT TOMORROW AFTERNOON WITH 10-12
SUSTAINED AND GUSTS TO ABOUT 22 KTS, HOWEVER VFR CIGS REMAIN FOR
ALL SITES. KDRT SHOULD SEE LIGHTER WINDS 6 KTS OR LESS THROUGH
TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 70 93 65 91 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 69 93 64 92 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 69 93 65 92 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 67 88 63 87 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 72 92 71 92 / 10 10 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 67 91 63 89 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 69 92 66 92 / 0 10 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 68 94 64 93 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 69 93 63 91 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 71 92 68 91 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 73 94 70 93 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...CJM
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