336
FXUS64 KEWX 091740
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1240 PM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- LOW HUMIDITY, COOLER MORNINGS, AND WARM AFTERNOONS FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1158 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE PERSISTED OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS THIS
MORNING WITH ADDITIONAL LOW CHANCES FOR SPOTTY SHOWERS ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. ELSEWHERE, DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO
MOVE INTO THE REGION KEEPING RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS IN PLACE. DRIER
AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER IN FROM THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD BRINGING LOWER DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
CLEAR SKIES AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL BRING COOLER MORNING
TEMPERATURES FOR EARLY SATURDAY WITH LOWS FROM THE MID 50S TO MID
60S ACROSS THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1158 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
MID-LEVEL RIDGING IS THE MAIN FEATURE OF THE LONG TERM FORECAST.
DRIER AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
BRINGING COOLER MORNINGS AND CONTINUED WARM AFTERNOONS. LOW LEVEL
SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS BY SUNDAY CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEK GRADUALLY
BRINGING BACK SOME MOISTURE TO THE REGION. THE RIDGE EITHER REMAINS
OVER TEXAS OR SHIFTS TO THE EAST NEXT WEEK, BUT IS FORECAST TO
STRENGTHEN EITHER WAY. CONTINUED SLIGHTLY HIGHER AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES THAN THE NBM FOR NEXT WEEK GIVEN THE RIDGE. LOWS WILL
BE BACK IN THE 60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1158 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CHANGES TO THE GOING AVIATION FORECAST.
EAST-NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH
LIGHTER WINDS OVERNIGHT. VFR CEILINGS AND A SCATTERED LAYER AT
4500FT CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY TODAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1158 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
DESPITE SPOTTY SHOWERS THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS, THE LACK OF
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL THE PAST MONTH FOR MOST LOCATIONS HAS LED TO
FLASH DROUGHT CONDITIONS. THE COMBINATION OF FORECAST DRY WEATHER
AND AND LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY, PARTICULARLY ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY,
WILL FURTHER DRY OUT FUELS ACROSS THE REGION. DESPITE RELATIVELY
WEAKER WINDS, ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS, ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR WHERE
FUELS ARE MORE DROUGHT STRESSED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 67 93 64 92 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 65 93 60 92 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 66 93 61 92 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 65 88 60 88 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 70 92 67 92 / 10 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 64 91 60 91 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 66 92 62 91 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 65 94 58 92 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 65 93 58 91 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 69 92 64 91 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 70 94 64 93 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...MMM
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