922
FXUS64 KEWX 100600
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
100 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- LOW HUMIDITY, COOLER MORNINGS, AND WARM AFTERNOONS FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- CONTINUED WARM AFTERNOONS AND DRY NEXT WEEK
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
EXPANDING HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHEAST ALLOWS EVEN DRIER AIR TO
BACKDOOR INTO THE REGION TODAY, WITH THE POOL OF HIGHER MOISTURE
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE BEING PUSHED SOUTHWEST INTO MEXICO. COOLER
MORNING BUT CONTINUED WARM AFTERNOONS ARE FORECAST.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW RESUMES SUNDAY, AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS
FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INCREASE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THE RIDGE ALOFT
STRENGTHENS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, CENTERING OVER OR JUST EAST OF
THE AREA. BY TUESDAY GLOBAL MODELS ARE INDICATING H5 HEIGHTS OF
594DM, WITH THE LREF GRAND ENSEMBLE INDICATING THESE HEIGHTS AT THE
99TH PERCENTILE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WE CONTINUE WITH SLIGHTLY
WARMER AFTERNOON HIGHS THAN WHAT THE NBM IS INDICATING MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
VFR FLYING CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH ANY CLOUDS
AOA FL050. MAINLY LIGHT AND VRBL WINDS AT NIGHT MIX TO NE TO SE AT 5
TO 12 KTS DURING THE DAY INTO EARLY EVENING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
DESPITE SPOTTY SHOWERS THE PAST FEW DAYS, THE LACK OF SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL THE PAST MONTH FOR MOST LOCATIONS HAS LED TO FLASH DROUGHT
CONDITIONS. DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING OVER THE NEXT WEEK, ALONG WITH
LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY, ESPECIALLY TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY, WILL
CONTINUE TO PROMOTE THE DRYING OF FUELS ACROSS THE REGION. DESPITE
RELATIVELY WEAKER WINDS TODAY AND SATURDAY, ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, ESPECIALLY ALONG AND
EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR WHERE FUELS ARE MORE DROUGHT STRESSED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 93 64 92 63 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 93 58 92 58 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 93 61 92 60 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 88 61 88 61 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 92 66 92 65 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 90 58 90 58 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 92 62 91 59 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 94 60 92 57 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 92 59 91 59 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 92 64 90 63 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 94 66 93 62 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...76
LONG TERM....76
AVIATION...04
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