820
FXUS64 KEWX 261048
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
548 AM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM TEMPERATURES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, THEN MUCH COOLER,
BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES, MIDDLE TO LATE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT OUR AREA TO THE EAST IN THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS, SMALL HAIL, AND GUSTY WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE, BUT TRENDING LESS LIKELY.
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR THE MAINLY BENEFICIAL RAINS WILL
PULL AWAY LEAVING A DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER OUR AREA WITH
NO RAINS EXPECTED. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS SETTLED ACROSS OUR
AREA WILL DRIFT TO THE EAST ALLOWING SOUTHERLY FLOW TO RETURN. THIS
LEADS TO A WARMING TREND TO WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WITH
MONDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAY FOR THE REMAINDER OF OCTOBER.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL LOW DROPPING SOUTH TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY BY MID WEEK BRINGS A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA ON
TUESDAY. COLD ADVECTION IN WAKE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LEADS TO
BELOW TO WELL BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES BY WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH,
THERE IS A SUBTLE WARMING TREND ON A SOUTHERLY LOWER LEVEL FLOW LATE
WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND, THE BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE INTO
EARLY NOVEMBER. A FEW LOW LYING SPOTS IN THE HILL COUNTRY AND ALONG
THE ESCARPMENT MAY SEE SUNRISE TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S ON THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY MORNINGS. A DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT KEEPS RAIN OUT
OF THE FORECAST. THE EXCEPTION BEING, A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EVENING MAINLY
NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 540 AM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
TRICKY FORECAST THIS MORNING IN AUSTIN AND SAN ANTONIO. THERE'S A
LOT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AROUND FROM THE PREVIOUS TWO DAYS RAIN.
AROUND AUSTIN, BUT NOT AT AUS, THERE IS FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY TO
IFR. WE DON'T THINK THIS WILL AFFECT AUS, BUT IT WILL BE POSSIBLE
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IN THE SAN ANTONIO AREA THE ISSUE IS
CEILINGS. THEY HAVE BEEN BOUNCING ABOVE AND BELOW 2000 FEET. THIS
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ALL THE TERMINALS
WILL REACH VFR BY LATE MORNING AND THEN REMAIN THAT WAY THROUGH
THE REST OF THE PERIOD. NO ISSUES AT DRT. WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN
10 KTS AND DIRECTIONS MAY VARY THROUGH THE DAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE TUESDAY, MINIMUM HUMIDITIES IN
THE TEENS TO 20S ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. NORTHERLY WINDS OF 10
TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH MAY RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS AS THE IMPACT OF OUR RECENT WETTING RAINS
BEGINS TO WANE. ALTHOUGH MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL BE THE SAME ON
THURSDAY, WINDS OF LESS THAN 10 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 84 61 87 65 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 83 58 86 63 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 84 59 87 64 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 80 59 85 64 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 87 62 92 65 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 81 58 84 62 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 84 59 88 63 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 85 58 87 63 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 82 58 85 63 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 84 62 87 66 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 85 63 89 67 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...05
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