453
FXUS64 KEWX 280543
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1243 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY BRINGING MUCH COOLER,
BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TONIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND.
- ONLY A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH PASSAGE OF THE FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON EAST OF I-35.
- FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FOR MOST OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES OVERNIGHT WITH MORNING LOWS MAINLY IN THE
60S ACROSS THE AREA. SOME PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP THIS MORNING,
FAVORED MOST OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS AND I-35 CORRIDOR, BUT IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD. ATTENTION FOR THE REST OF THE DAY TURNS
TO THE HIGHLY ANTICIPATED COLD FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. THE FRONT SHOULD BE MAKING
ITS WAY INTO THE NORTHERN CWA LATE THIS MORNING AND BE COMPLETELY
ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA BY THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. AS THE
FRONT PROGRESSES ACROSS THE AREA, A FEW SHOWERS OR STORMS MAY
DEVELOP OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS BUT THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA WILL
REMAIN DRY.
WINDS WILL QUICKLY PICK UP BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TODAY WITH
SUSTAINED NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH AND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 TO
40 MPH. STRONG WIND CONTINUES INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FOR MOST
LOCATIONS, WITH SOME HI-RES GUIDANCE INDICATING SOME ISOLATED GUSTS
AS HIGH AS 45 MPH OVER THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY
LATE TONIGHT. THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS MAY GET A BRIEF BREAK FROM THE
WINDS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE WINDS INCREASE AGAIN DURING THE
MORNING HOURS. LOWS WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE COLD, RANGING FROM THE
MID 40S TO MID 50S. WHERE WINDS REMAIN STRONGEST, TEMPERATURES WILL
FEEL EVEN COLDER.
THE DRY AND WINDY WEATHER ON WEDNESDAY WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. SEE THE FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE DETAILS. OTHERWISE, EXPECT CLEAR SKIES,
GUSTY WIND AND HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOW 70S FOR THE AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE QUICKLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. THE COLDEST MORNING OF THE
WEEK ARRIVES THURSDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES OVER PORTIONS OF THE
HILL COUNTRY DIVE INTO THE MID AND UPPER 30S WITH THE REST OF THE
AREA IN THE 40S. A BRIEF, LIGHT FREEZE IS POSSIBLE FOR ISOLATED
LOCATIONS IN THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU OR HILL COUNTRY. LIGHT
NORTHERLY WIND THURSDAY WILL LEAVE TEMPERATURES COOL ACROSS THE AREA
TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S. WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY
FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH A DAY BY DAY WARMING TREND EXPECTED
DURING THIS PERIOD.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
MVFR CEILINGS ARE DEVELOPING OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS AND MOVING
TOWARD I-35. SAT HAS GONE MVFR AND SSF AND AUS WILL FOLLOW
SHORTLY. THESE CEILINGS WILL REMAIN OVERNIGHT AND LINGER UNTIL
LATE MORNING. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL BRING STRONG, GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS THAT
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR THE HILL COUNTRY, EDWARDS PLATEAU, I-35
CORRIDOR, AND COASTAL PLAINS. CRITICAL FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT, WITH SURFACE WINDS OUT
OF THE NORTHWEST AT 15-25 MPH AND GUSTS OF 35 MPH AT TIMES, ALONG
WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES BETWEEN 15-25% WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ANY FIRES
THAT DEVELOP WEDNESDAY COULD RAPIDLY INCREASE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY,
MOVE QUICKLY, AND BE DIFFICULT TO CONTROL.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 85 52 69 47 / 10 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 87 52 68 44 / 10 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 88 51 69 44 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 78 48 65 43 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 87 53 73 44 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 82 50 66 44 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 89 51 70 40 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 88 51 70 43 / 10 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 88 51 68 45 / 20 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 89 53 69 45 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 91 55 71 46 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR TXZ171>173-186>194-203>209-218>225-228.
SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...05
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