495
FXUS64 KEWX 282332
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
632 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON BRINGING MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES, BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AND FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.
- ONLY A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH PASSAGE OF THE FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON EAST OF I-35.
- A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM CDT TODAY THROUGH 7 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY.
- A REG FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT WEDNESDAY THROUGH
7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR BREEZY CONDITIONS AND LOW HUMIDITIES.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
A STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PUSH ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT TO LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AS IT PUSHES OVER THE FAR
EASTERN COUNTIES OF THE LOCAL AREA AND COASTAL PLAINS. THE WIND IS
GOING TO PICK UP IN THE WAKE OF BOUNDARY TURNING TO BREEZY AND WINDY
CONDITIONS MID TO LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. STRONGEST WINDS
ARE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE MAY BE A
BREAK LATE TONIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE WINDS TO RELAX A
BIT, HOWEVER, THEY PICK UP AGAIN MID WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM CDT TODAY THROUGH
7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
50 MPH ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
THE COOL AIRMASS SPREADS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 40S FOR THE
HILL COUNTRY, SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU, AND LOWER 50S FOR THE I-35,
COASTAL PLAINS, AND RIO GRANDE.
WEDNESDAY'S HIGHS STAY IN THE LOW TO MID 60S ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY
AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU WITH LOWER 70S ELSEWHERE. THE SURGE
OF COOL AIR REMAINS AND WINDS RELAX WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING
QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE FORECAST TO DROP TO THE
MID 30S ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND VICINITY WITH UPPER 30S AND
LOWER 40S FOR THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND COASTAL PLAINS.
AS MENTIONED ABOVE, BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS REMAIN FOR A GOOD
PORTION OF THE LOCAL AREA WITH HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING TO THE TEENS
AND 20 PERCENT RANGE. A RED FLAG IS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY. SEE
FIRE WEATHER SECTION BELOW FOR MORE INFORMATION.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS PERSIST FOR THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK WITH
A BIT OF A WARMUP FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT
WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION IS FORECAST TO PUSH
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA ON SATURDAY. AT LOWER LEVELS, A SURFACE
TROUGH/FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
BRINGING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE HILL
COUNTRY, I-35 CORRIDOR, AND COASTAL PLAINS. THE SYSTEM EXITS TO THE
SOUTHEAST AND ON ITS WAKE, DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST
FOR SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 631 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD UNDER CLEAR
SKIES. THE MAIN FOCUS IS THE PROLONGED WINDY CONDITIONS INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY EVENING. NORTH WINDS TONIGHT SHIFT SLIGHTLY MORE FROM THE
NORTHWEST AFTER SUNRISE TOMORROW MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE FROM 10-20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS IN THE 25-30 KNOT RANGE.
BETWEEN NOW AND MIDNIGHT SOME ISOLATED GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA. WINDS DECREASE ALONG THE
RIO GRANDE LATER TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. AFTER 00Z THURSDAY WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO QUICKLY DECREASE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT WEDNESDAY THROUGH
7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY ALONG INTERSTATE 10, ALONG US HIGHWAY 57, AND
COASTAL PLAINS FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY VALUES. A FIRE
DANGER STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME TIME PERIOD FOR THE
REST OF THE LOCAL AREA (HILL COUNTRY, PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU AND RIO GRANDE).
A STRONG FRONT MOVES ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND
BRINGS BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS MID TO LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING AND CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL DROP DOWN TO THE TEENS AND LOW 20 PERCENT RANGE.
WITH STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS IN PLACE, NEAR CRITICAL TO CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE IN PLACE. THE AREA UNDER THE RED FLAG
WARNING IS UNDER DRY TO NORMAL MOISTURE. THE AREA UNDER THE FIRE
WEATHER STATEMENT IS UNDER ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE BASED ON FUEL
DRYNESS FORECAST. NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON
THURSDAY FOR SOME AREAS, HOWEVER, LIGHT WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THE
PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 51 69 45 71 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 52 68 40 71 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 51 69 39 71 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 49 65 40 68 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 53 73 44 75 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 50 66 41 69 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 50 69 36 72 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 51 69 40 72 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 51 68 44 70 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 53 69 40 72 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 55 70 42 74 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ171>173-184>194-
203>209-218>225-228.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ187-189-
203>207-218>225-228.
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...27
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