576
FXUS64 KEWX 072325
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
525 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- LOCALLY DENSE FOG POSSIBLE AGAIN SATURDAY MORNING OVER THE
COASTAL PRAIRIES
- VERY WARM THROUGH SATURDAY; DAILY AND/OR EVEN MONTHLY RECORD
HIGHS COULD BE REACHED THIS AFTERNOON
- STRONG COLD FRONT ARRIVING SATURDAY NIGHT BRINGS BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS, MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES, AND NEAR-CRITICAL TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
- LIGHT FREEZES POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY OVER THE HILL COUNTRY
AND PARTS OF CENTRAL TX
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WIND SHIFTS ARE SLOWLY SPREADING EAST
ACROSS THE AREA AS OF MIDDAY, AND THIS WILL ADD A WARMING
COMPONENT TO AN ALREADY WARM AIR REGIME. WE EXPECT TO SEE A FEW
HIGH TEMPERATURES GET OVER 90 DEGREES WHICH IS GOOD ENOUGH TO
THREATEN THE MAXES FOR ALL 4 CLIMATE LOCATIONS AND THE MONTHLY MAX
RECORDS FOR AROUND AUSTIN. WEAK SURFACE RIDGING SPILLING SOUTH
WILL LEAVE WINDS LIGHT AND SHIFTY FOR SATURDAY AND ALSO ALLOW FOR
WELL ABOVE NORMAL MAX TEMPERATURES. A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO
SLIP INTO OUR FORECAST AREA SATURDAY EVENING. SOME BLUSTERY
OVERNIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
WITH THE COLD FRONT STILL FAIRLY YOUNG OVER THE AREA AFTER SUNRISE
SUNDAY, THE STRONGER WINDS ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL MAXIMIZE
STRONG WINDS AND GUST OF 15 TO 30 MPH AND SOME GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
PORTIONS OF THE AREA WILL NEED TO BE REVIEWED AS A POSSIBLE WIND
ADVISORY, BUT IT SHOULD BE A MORE MARGINAL WIND EVENT THAN THE
LATE OCTOBER FRONT. HOWEVER WE'RE GETTING DEEPER INTO THE AUTUMN
SEASON, SO THIS FRONT WILL BRING THE MOST CHILLY WEATHER THUS FAR,
WITH SOME EDWARDS PLATEAU, HILL COUNTRY AND AUSTIN METRO AREA
POSSIBLY REACHING THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE YEAR MONDAY OR TUESDAY
MORNINGS. AFTER DAYBREAK TUESDAY, THE DEEP UPPER TROUGH PULLS
RAPIDLY EAST AND LEAVING THE LOW LEVEL WINDS TO RETURN TO SOUTH TO
SW AND BRINGING MAX TEMPERATURES BACK TO NORMAL. A BROAD RIDGING
PATTERN HOLDS OVER THE SW CONUS LEAVING A DRY NW FLOW PATTERN
ALOFT OVER TX. THIS WILL PROMOTE MILD OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES AND
ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES RESUMING LATE IN THE WORK WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 525 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
VFR MAINLY SKC PREVAILS TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. LIGHT
NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 5 KTS TONIGHT INTO MORNING BECOME MOSTLY
VRBL ON SATURDAY, THEN NORTHERLY 10 TO 15 KTS SATURDAY EVENING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE
GRANDE AROUND DEL RIO AND EAGLE PASS, WITH RH VALUES IN THE TEENS
AND A NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE LIGHTER
WINDS AND A RH MINIMUM IN THE 25 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE. A SIMILAR
DAY IS EXPECTED SATURDAY, WITH PERHAPS LIGHTER WINDS ACROSS ARE
REGION. THEN SATURDAY NIGHT, A STRONG COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO REACH
THE AREA, CREATING A WEATHER PATTERN FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THE FRONT WILL BRING BREEZY
TO STRONG NORTHERLY POST-FRONTAL WINDS AND RH MINIMUMS IN THE 15
TO 25 PERCENT RANGE AREA WIDE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE COOLER AND
DRY AIRMASS REMAINS THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE A QUICK WARMUP
FOLLOWS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THERE MAY BE ENOUGH
RETURN FLOW WITH CONTINUED DRY AIR FOR SOME ELEVATED TO NEAR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 525 PM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
SATURDAY (11/08)
AUS 90 1989
ATT 89 2024
SAT 90 1989
DRT 93 1980
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 57 87 56 68 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 55 87 56 69 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 55 88 56 70 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 54 84 52 64 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 56 88 58 74 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 54 86 54 67 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 54 89 57 73 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 55 88 56 71 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 56 87 57 69 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 58 88 58 70 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 59 89 61 73 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
FOR TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228.
SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....18
AVIATION...04
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